Albania

Tue 6 Oct2-1Finished

San Marino

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Albania vs San Marino Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Albania vs San Marino in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Albania 2-1 San Marino

Albania vs San Marino finished 2-1. Albania won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Albania face San Marino in the upcoming UEFA Nations League tips, kicking off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Albania won 2. The bookmaker market makes an Albania win the most likely result at 92%, implying a 3.7-0.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Albania vs San Marino with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Albania win	92%
Draw	6%
San Marino win	2%
Over 2.5 goals	78%
Both teams to score	27%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 3.70 – 0.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
1	5.8%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
2	10.8%	4.9%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.3%	6.0%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
4	12.3%	5.5%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 3-0

Albania winDrawSan Marino win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Albania vs San Marino. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Albania win is the most likely result at 92%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 78%. Both teams to score: no at 73%.

📊 Key numbers

Albania 92%Draw 6%San Marino 2%

92%

Albania Win

78%

Over 2.5 goals

73%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Albania and San Marino. Wins shown from Albania’s perspective: Albania 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-06	Albania	2 – 1	San Marino	W
2026-09-29	San Marino	0 – 3	Albania	W

📈 Recent form

Albania

Albania come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at San Marino. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Finland.

WAlbania 2-1 San MarinoUEFA Nations League
LFinland 2-1 AlbaniaUEFA Nations League
WSan Marino 0-3 AlbaniaUEFA Nations League
WAlbania 2-0 BelarusUEFA Nations League
LAlbania 0-1 LuxembourgFriendlies

San Marino

San Marino come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 18. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Albania.

LAlbania 2-1 San MarinoUEFA Nations League
LBelarus 4-0 San MarinoUEFA Nations League
LSan Marino 0-3 AlbaniaUEFA Nations League
LSan Marino 0-7 FinlandUEFA Nations League
LAzerbaijan 2-1 San MarinoFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Albania at 92% to win and San Marino at 2%, with the draw at 6%. The bookmaker market makes an Albania win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Albania Win	92%	@ 1.03
Draw	6%	@ 15.00
San Marino Win	2%	@ 51.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 3.7-0.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	89%	@ 1.05
Over 2.5	78%	@ 1.20
Over 3.5	65%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	35%	@ 2.62
Under 2.5	22%	@ 4.33
Under 1.5	11%	@ 8.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 73%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	73%	@ 1.28
BTTS Yes	27%	@ 3.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albania vs San Marino?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Albania win is the most likely result at 92%.

Who is the favourite for Albania vs San Marino?

Our model makes an Albania win the most likely result at 92%. It projects an expected 3.7-0.5 scoreline for Albania vs San Marino.

What is the predicted score for Albania vs San Marino?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 3.70 for Albania and 0.45 for San Marino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Albania and San Marino play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.