Thu 15 Oct16:45Upcoming

Hapoel Beer Sheva

⚽ UEFA Europa League

AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

AZ Alkmaar face Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely result at 73%, implying a 2.5-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
AZ Alkmaar win	73%
Draw	18%
Hapoel Beer Sheva win	9%
Over 2.5 goals	64%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.45 – 0.80 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
1	9.5%	7.6%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
2	11.6%	9.3%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%
3	9.5%	7.6%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	5.8%	4.7%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

AZ Alkmaar winDrawHapoel Beer Sheva win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva. Based on the bookmaker odds, an AZ Alkmaar win is the most likely result at 73%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 64%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

AZ Alkmaar 73%Draw 18%Hapoel Beer Sheva 9%

73%18%9%

73%

AZ Alkmaar Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Telstar. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Feyenoord.

LFeyenoord 2-0 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
WAZ Alkmaar 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
LSunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
DAZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem IIEredivisie
WHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Hapoel Beer Sheva come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Ironi Tiberias. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at home to Maccabi Tel Aviv.

WIroni Tiberias 0-2 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
WHapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
DHapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League
LHapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
DHapoel Beer Sheva 2-2 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

AZ Alkmaar

J. HornkampNot in squad
S. ResinkKnee Injury
K. SmitNot in squad
H. VerhulstOff the roster
J. ZoetOff the roster

Hapoel Beer Sheva

D. BitonHeart Problems
Y. StoyanovOff the roster

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AZ Alkmaar at 73% to win and Hapoel Beer Sheva at 9%, with the draw at 18%. The bookmaker market makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
AZ Alkmaar Win	73%	@ 1.28
Draw	18%	@ 5.25
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win	9%	@ 10.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AZ Alkmaar or Draw at 1.06 (91% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
AZ Alkmaar or Draw	91%	@ 1.06
Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw	27%	@ 3.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.5-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	64%	@ 1.50
Under 3.5	57%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	43%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

AZ Alkmaar 73%Draw 18%Hapoel Beer Sheva 9%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an AZ Alkmaar win is the most likely result at 73%.

Who is the favourite for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Our model makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely result at 73%. It projects an expected 2.5-0.8 scoreline for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva.

What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.45 for AZ Alkmaar and 0.80 for Hapoel Beer Sheva. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.