Sun 30 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Başakşehir 1-1 Kasımpaşa

Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Başakşehir face Kasımpaşa in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Başakşehir have 3 wins from their last 5, while Kasımpaşa have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Başakşehir won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 79%, projecting a 3.0-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Başakşehir Win @ 1.58

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.03 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.1%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
1	6.3%	5.3%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
2	9.5%	8.1%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
3	9.6%	8.1%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
4	7.3%	6.2%	2.6%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 3-0

Başakşehir winDrawKasımpaşa win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is a Başakşehir win at odds 1.58, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Başakşehir win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 79%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points no (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Başakşehir 79%Draw 11%Kasımpaşa 10%

79%11%10%

79%

Başakşehir Win

74%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa. Wins shown from Başakşehir’s perspective: Başakşehir 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Başakşehir	1 – 1	Kasımpaşa	D
2026-04-24	Başakşehir	4 – 0	Kasımpaşa	W

📈 Recent form

Başakşehir

Başakşehir come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Amed.

WBaşakşehir 4-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
LAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
LBaşakşehir 2-3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
LTrabzonspor 2-1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig

Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Gençlerbirliği.

DKasımpaşa 0-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
WGençlerbirliği 1-2 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
DKasımpaşa 2-2 AmedSüper Lig
DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
WÇorum FK 0-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Başakşehir

No absentees reported.

Kasımpaşa

K. CorekciAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Başakşehir at 79% to win and Kasımpaşa at 10%, with the draw at 11%. Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Başakşehir Win	79%	59%	@ 1.58
Draw	11%	23%	@ 4.10
Kasımpaşa Win	10%	18%	@ 5.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Başakşehir or Draw at 1.13 (92% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Başakşehir or Draw	92%	82%	@ 1.13
Kasımpaşa or Draw	23%	41%	@ 2.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	75%	@ 1.22
Over 2.5	74%	54%	@ 1.71
Over 3.5	54%	33%	@ 2.80
Under 3.5	46%	67%	@ 1.37
Under 2.5	26%	46%	@ 1.98
Under 1.5	10%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	50%	48%	@ 1.91
BTTS Yes	50%	52%	@ 1.76

📈 How the market moved

Başakşehir 57%Draw 24%Kasımpaşa 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

Our model's main pick is a Başakşehir win at odds 1.58, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 79%. It projects an expected 3.0-0.8 scoreline for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa.

What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 3.03 for Başakşehir and 0.85 for Kasımpaşa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.