⚽ Süper Lig

Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Başakşehir face Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Başakşehir have 3 wins from their last 5, while Kasımpaşa have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 82%, projecting a 3.5-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Başakşehir Win @ 1.63

82%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.46 – 0.78 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.4%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
1	5.0%	3.9%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
2	8.6%	6.7%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%
3	9.9%	7.8%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	8.6%	6.7%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%

Projected score: 3-0

Başakşehir winDrawKasımpaşa win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is a Başakşehir win at odds 1.63, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates a Başakşehir win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 82%. Goals lean over 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points no (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.80 (+70.5% model value).

Best value

Over 3.5 at odds 2.80, 61% model probability, +70.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Başakşehir 82%Draw 10%Kasımpaşa 7%

82%10%

82%

Başakşehir Win

79%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

+70.5%

Best value: Over 3.5

📈 Recent form

Başakşehir

Başakşehir come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Kocaelispor. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Trabzonspor.

LTrabzonspor 2-1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
WBaşakşehir 2-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
LInter Turku 2-0 BaşakşehirUEFA Europa Conference
DBaşakşehir 1-1 Inter TurkuUEFA Europa Conference
WPuskas Academy 0-2 BaşakşehirFriendlies Clubs

Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği S.K.. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WÇorum FK 0-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
DKasımpaşa 1-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
DKasımpaşa 1-1 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
WKasımpaşa 3-0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Friendlies Clubs
DKasımpaşa 1-1 Batman PetrolsporFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Başakşehir at 82% to win and Kasımpaşa at 7%, with the draw at 10%. Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Başakşehir Win	82%	@ 1.63	+34.4%
Draw	10%	@ 3.90	-60.0%
Kasımpaşa Win	7%	@ 5.00	-63.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Başakşehir or Draw at 1.17 (93% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Başakşehir or Draw	93%	@ 1.17	+9.1%
Kasımpaşa or Draw	19%	@ 2.20	-57.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.5-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	61%	@ 2.80	+70.5%
Over 2.5	79%	@ 1.70	+34.6%
Over 1.5	92%	@ 1.22	+12.4%
Under 3.5	39%	@ 1.42	-44.5%
Under 2.5	21%	@ 2.10	-56.3%
Under 1.5	8%	@ 4.00	-68.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	51%	@ 2.05	+4.1%
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.70	-16.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

Our main pick is a Başakşehir win at odds 1.63, with 82% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.80 (+70.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 82%. It projects an expected 3.5-0.8 scoreline for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa.

What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 3.46 for Başakşehir and 0.78 for Kasımpaşa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.