Belarus

Tue 6 Oct1-0Finished

Finland

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Belarus vs Finland Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Belarus vs Finland in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Belarus 1-0 Finland

Belarus vs Finland finished 1-0. Belarus won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Belarus face Finland in the upcoming UEFA Nations League tips, kicking off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Belarus won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Finland win the most likely result at 47%, implying a 0.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Belarus vs Finland with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Belarus win	24%
Draw	29%
Finland win	47%
Over 2.5 goals	40%
Both teams to score	44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.90 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	14.2%	9.6%	4.3%	1.5%
1	9.5%	12.8%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%
2	4.3%	5.8%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%
3	1.3%	1.7%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Belarus winDrawFinland win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Belarus vs Finland. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Finland win is the most likely result at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: no at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Belarus 24%Draw 29%Finland 47%

24%29%47%

47%

Finland Win

60%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Belarus and Finland. Wins shown from Belarus’s perspective: Belarus 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-06	Belarus	1 – 0	Finland	W
2026-09-29	Finland	0 – 0	Belarus	D

📈 Recent form

Belarus

Belarus come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to San Marino. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Albania.

WBelarus 1-0 FinlandUEFA Nations League
WBelarus 4-0 San MarinoUEFA Nations League
DFinland 0-0 BelarusUEFA Nations League
LAlbania 2-0 BelarusUEFA Nations League
DBelarus 2-2 Burkina FasoFriendlies

Finland

Finland come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at San Marino. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Belarus.

LBelarus 1-0 FinlandUEFA Nations League
WFinland 2-1 AlbaniaUEFA Nations League
DFinland 0-0 BelarusUEFA Nations League
WSan Marino 0-7 FinlandUEFA Nations League
LHungary 2-1 FinlandFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Belarus at 24% to win and Finland at 47%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Finland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Finland Win	47%	@ 2.00
Draw	29%	@ 3.25
Belarus Win	24%	@ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Finland or Draw at 1.25 (76% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Finland or Draw	76%	@ 1.25
Belarus or Draw	53%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 0.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.20
Over 1.5	66%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	60%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	40%	@ 2.35
Under 1.5	34%	@ 2.75
Over 3.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS Yes	44%	@ 2.10

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Belarus vs Finland?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Finland win is the most likely result at 47%.

Who is the favourite for Belarus vs Finland?

Our model makes a Finland win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.4 scoreline for Belarus vs Finland.

What is the predicted score for Belarus vs Finland?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.90 for Belarus and 1.35 for Finland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Belarus and Finland play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.