Bodo/GlimtvsNEC Nijmegen

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 25 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Bodo/Glimt face NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Tuesday 25 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.45
71%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.51 – 1.19 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 7.8% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
3 6.5% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
4 4.1% 4.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Projected score: 2-1
Bodo/Glimt winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.45, the selection our model is most confident in at 71%. On the match result, the model rates a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (64%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.10 (+6.2% model value).

Best value
Over 3.5 at odds 2.10, 51% model probability, +6.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Bodo/Glimt 56%Draw 27%NEC Nijmegen 17%
56%27%17%
56%
Bodo/Glimt Win
71%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes
+6.2%
Best value: Over 3.5

📈 Recent form

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lillestrom. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WNEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
  • DBodo/Glimt 2-2 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Champions League
  • WValerenga 1-2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • DUnion St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
  • WBodo/Glimt 4-0 LillestromEliteserien
NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Willem II. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Bodo/Glimt.

  • LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
  • WWillem II 1-4 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
  • DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League
  • LNEC Nijmegen 1-2 TelstarEredivisie
  • DOlympiakos Piraeus 0-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bodo/Glimt
  • H. EvjenKnee Injury
  • A. MikkelsenGroin Injury
  • I. SjongInjury
  • O. BlombergInjury
  • J. GundersenInjury
NEC Nijmegen
  • A. KaplanKnee Injury
  • K. OgawaHead Injury
  • S. OuaissaMuscle Injury
  • P. SandlerInjury
  • P. SchuursKnee Injury
  • D. FonvilleInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bodo/Glimt at 56% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 17%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Draw 27% @ 4.30 +16.4%
Bodo/Glimt Win 56% @ 1.59 -11.0%
NEC Nijmegen Win 17% @ 4.80 -18.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is NEC Nijmegen or Draw at 2.30 (42% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
NEC Nijmegen or Draw 42% @ 2.30 -3.3%
Bodo/Glimt or Draw 81% @ 1.17 -5.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 3.5 51% @ 2.10 +6.2%
Over 2.5 71% @ 1.45 +3.6%
Over 1.5 88% @ 1.14 +0.7%
Under 3.5 49% @ 1.70 -15.9%
Under 2.5 29% @ 2.70 -22.9%
Under 1.5 12% @ 5.50 -35.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS Yes 64% @ 1.48 -5.4%
BTTS No 36% @ 2.45 -11.7%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.45, with 71% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.10 (+6.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.5-1.2 scoreline for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen.

What is the predicted score for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.51 for Bodo/Glimt and 1.19 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 25 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.