⚽ UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Bodo/Glimt face Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 2.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Union St. Gilloise +2 @ 1.25

80%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.84 – 1.18 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%
1	5.1%	6.0%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%
2	7.2%	8.5%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	6.9%	8.1%	4.8%	1.9%	0.6%
4	4.9%	5.7%	3.4%	1.3%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Bodo/Glimt winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Union St. Gilloise with a +2 start at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (65%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.05 (+16.8% model value).

Best value

Over 3.5 at odds 2.05, 57% model probability, +16.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Bodo/Glimt 63%Draw 23%Union St. Gilloise 14%

63%23%14%

63%

Bodo/Glimt Win

76%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

+16.8%

Best value: Over 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Bodo/Glimt and Union St. Gilloise. Wins shown from Bodo/Glimt’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-04	Union St. Gilloise	3 – 3	Bodo/Glimt	D
2024-10-03	Union St. Gilloise	0 – 0	Bodo/Glimt	D

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bodo/Glimt at 63% to win and Union St. Gilloise at 14%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Bodo/Glimt Win	63%	1.66	+4.1%
Draw	23%	4.30	-2.0%
Union St. Gilloise Win	14%	4.20	-39.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.20 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Bodo/Glimt or Draw	86%	1.20	+2.6%
Union St. Gilloise or Draw	37%	2.15	-19.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	57%	2.05	+16.8%
Over 2.5	76%	1.42	+8.5%
Over 1.5	91%	1.12	+1.8%
Under 3.5	43%	1.75	-24.7%
Under 2.5	24%	2.80	-33.9%
Under 1.5	9%	5.75	-47.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	65%	1.44	-6.2%
BTTS No	35%	2.50	-12.8%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bodo/Glimt or Union St. Gilloise is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Union St. Gilloise 0	38%	3.38	+26.8%
Union St. Gilloise -0.75	22%	5.75	+26.4%
Union St. Gilloise -0.25	32%	3.79	+20.4%
Union St. Gilloise +0.25	44%	2.65	+14.9%
Union St. Gilloise +0.75	55%	2.03	+11.7%
Union St. Gilloise -0.5	26%	4.25	+9.9%
Union St. Gilloise +0.5	49%	2.22	+9.5%
Union St. Gilloise +1	61%	1.78	+8.3%
Union St. Gilloise +1.5	72%	1.49	+7.8%
Union St. Gilloise +1.25	66%	1.60	+6.4%
Union St. Gilloise +1.75	76%	1.38	+4.6%
Union St. Gilloise +2	80%	1.25	+0.3%
Bodo/Glimt +0.5	74%	1.21	-10.3%
Bodo/Glimt +0.75	78%	1.14	-11.1%
Bodo/Glimt +0.25	68%	1.25	-14.3%
Bodo/Glimt -0.25	56%	1.47	-16.9%
Bodo/Glimt -0.5	51%	1.62	-17.9%
Bodo/Glimt 0	62%	1.31	-17.9%
Bodo/Glimt -0.75	45%	1.79	-19.5%
Bodo/Glimt -1	39%	2.01	-21.2%
Bodo/Glimt -1.25	34%	2.31	-22.4%
Bodo/Glimt -2	20%	3.79	-23.9%
Bodo/Glimt -1.75	24%	3.01	-27.9%
Bodo/Glimt -1.5	28%	2.48	-30.9%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	71%
Dixon-Coles	Home	72%
GradientBoosting	Home	57%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.76 for the home side, 1.19 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (6%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our main pick is Union St. Gilloise with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.05 (+16.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise.

What is the predicted score for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.84 for Bodo/Glimt and 1.18 for Union St. Gilloise. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bodo/Glimt and Union St. Gilloise play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.