Sat 29 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Premier League

Bournemouth vs Everton Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bournemouth vs Everton in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton

Bournemouth vs Everton finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Bournemouth face Everton in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Bournemouth have 2 wins from their last 5, while Everton have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Bournemouth won 3, Everton won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bournemouth vs Everton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Bournemouth or Draw @ 1.30

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.44 – 1.07 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	8.7%	4.7%	1.7%	0.4%
1	11.7%	12.5%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.4%	9.0%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.0%	4.3%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bournemouth winDrawEverton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bournemouth vs Everton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Bournemouth or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bournemouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Bournemouth 51%Draw 27%Everton 22%

51%27%22%

51%

Bournemouth Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bournemouth and Everton. Wins shown from Bournemouth’s perspective: Bournemouth 3 · 1 drawn · Everton 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Bournemouth	1 – 1	Everton	D
2026-02-10	Everton	1 – 2	Bournemouth	W
2025-12-02	Bournemouth	0 – 1	Everton	L
2025-01-04	Bournemouth	1 – 0	Everton	W
2024-08-31	Everton	2 – 3	Bournemouth	W

📈 Recent form

Bournemouth

Bournemouth come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lincoln. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Liverpool.

LBournemouth 0-1 LiverpoolPremier League
WReal Sociedad 1-2 BournemouthUEFA Europa League
DBournemouth 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
WBournemouth 4-0 LincolnLeague Cup
DNewcastle 2-2 BournemouthPremier League

Everton

Everton come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ipswich.

WEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
WEverton 1-0 WolvesLeague Cup
DTottenham 0-0 EvertonPremier League
DEverton 2-2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
DBournemouth 1-1 EvertonPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bournemouth

A. AdliCalf Injury
J. AraujoThigh Injury
E. J. KroupiFoot Injury
V. MilosavljevicInjury

Everton

C. NorgaardInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bournemouth at 51% to win and Everton at 22%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth Win	51%	46%	@ 2.07
Draw	27%	26%	@ 3.60
Everton Win	22%	28%	@ 3.45

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bournemouth or Draw at 1.30 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth or Draw	76%	72%	@ 1.30
Everton or Draw	48%	54%	@ 1.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	68%	@ 1.38
Over 1.5	72%	76%	@ 1.24
Under 2.5	54%	47%	@ 2.02
Over 2.5	46%	53%	@ 1.77
Under 1.5	28%	24%	@ 4.00
Over 3.5	24%	32%	@ 2.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	57%	@ 1.63
BTTS No	49%	43%	@ 2.17

📈 How the market moved

Bournemouth 46%Draw 27%Everton 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Our model's main pick is Bournemouth or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Bournemouth vs Everton.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Everton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Bournemouth and 1.07 for Everton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bournemouth and Everton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.