⚽ Premier League

Bournemouth vs Everton Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bournemouth vs Everton in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bournemouth face Everton in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Bournemouth have 2 wins from their last 5, while Everton have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Bournemouth won 4, Everton won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bournemouth vs Everton with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.37

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.44 – 1.07 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	8.7%	4.7%	1.7%	0.4%
1	11.7%	12.5%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.4%	9.0%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.0%	4.3%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bournemouth winDrawEverton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bournemouth vs Everton is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.37, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Bournemouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.98 (+7.2% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.98, 54% model probability, +7.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Bournemouth 51%Draw 27%Everton 22%

51%27%22%

51%

Bournemouth Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

+7.2%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bournemouth and Everton. Wins shown from Bournemouth’s perspective: Bournemouth 4 · Everton 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-10	Everton	1 – 2	Bournemouth	W
2025-12-02	Bournemouth	0 – 1	Everton	L
2025-01-04	Bournemouth	1 – 0	Everton	W
2024-08-31	Everton	2 – 3	Bournemouth	W
2024-03-30	Bournemouth	2 – 1	Everton	W

📈 Recent form

Bournemouth

Bournemouth come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 22 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 10-1 at home to Genoa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at FSV Mainz 05.

LFSV Mainz 05 2-1 BournemouthFriendlies Clubs
DReal Betis 2-2 BournemouthFriendlies Clubs
WBournemouth 10-1 GenoaFriendlies Clubs
WFC Augsburg 2-5 BournemouthFriendlies Clubs
WBournemouth 4-1 FC St. PauliFriendlies Clubs

Everton

Everton come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Crystal Palace. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at VfB Stuttgart.

WEverton 2-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
DEverton 1-1 LilleFriendlies Clubs
WNewcastle 1-3 EvertonFriendlies Clubs
LVfB Stuttgart 3-1 EvertonFriendlies Clubs
WHamburger SV 1-2 EvertonFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bournemouth at 51% to win and Everton at 22%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Bournemouth Win	51%	@ 2.11	+6.8%
Draw	27%	@ 3.56	-3.0%
Everton Win	22%	@ 3.58	-20.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	28%	@ 3.85	+9.8%
Under 2.5	54%	@ 1.98	+7.2%
Under 3.5	76%	@ 1.37	+3.5%
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.28	-8.5%
Over 2.5	46%	@ 1.91	-12.4%
Over 3.5	24%	@ 3.19	-22.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.37, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.98 (+7.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Bournemouth vs Everton.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Everton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Bournemouth and 1.07 for Everton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bournemouth and Everton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.