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⚽ Premier League

Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bournemouth vs Sunderland in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bournemouth face Sunderland in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Bournemouth have no wins from their last 5, while Sunderland have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 48%, implying a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bournemouth vs Sunderland with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Bournemouth win	48%
Draw	26%
Sunderland win	26%
Over 2.5 goals	53%
Both teams to score	55%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.65 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.0%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.0%	11.5%	6.6%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.3%	9.5%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.6%	5.2%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bournemouth winDrawSunderland win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Bournemouth vs Sunderland. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Bournemouth win is the most likely result at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: yes at 55%.

📊 Key numbers

Bournemouth 48%Draw 26%Sunderland 26%

48%26%26%

48%

Bournemouth Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Bournemouth and Sunderland. Wins shown from Bournemouth’s perspective: 1 drawn · Sunderland 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-28	Bournemouth	1 – 1	Sunderland	D
2025-11-29	Sunderland	3 – 2	Bournemouth	L

📈 Recent form

Bournemouth

Bournemouth come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lincoln. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at Chelsea.

LChelsea 5-1 BournemouthPremier League
LBournemouth 0-1 LiverpoolPremier League
WReal Sociedad 1-2 BournemouthUEFA Europa League
DBournemouth 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
WBournemouth 4-0 LincolnLeague Cup

Sunderland

Sunderland come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to AZ Alkmaar. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Brighton.

LSunderland 0-2 BrightonPremier League
LManchester City 5-3 SunderlandPremier League
WSunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
LSunderland 0-2 ArsenalPremier League
WSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bournemouth at 48% to win and Sunderland at 26%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Bournemouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth Win	48%	@ 1.95
Draw	27%	@ 3.50
Sunderland Win	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bournemouth or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth or Draw	74%	@ 1.28
Sunderland or Draw	52%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	45%	@ 2.05

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Bournemouth win is the most likely result at 48%.

Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Bournemouth vs Sunderland.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Bournemouth and 1.15 for Sunderland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bournemouth and Sunderland play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.