⚽ Premier League
Brentford vs Tottenham Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brentford vs Tottenham in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Result: Brentford 3-0 Tottenham
Brentford vs Tottenham finished 3-0. Brentford won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Brentford face Tottenham in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Brentford won 1, Tottenham won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Brentford win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brentford vs Tottenham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Brentford vs Tottenham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Brentford with a +0.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Brentford win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Brentford and Tottenham. Wins shown from Brentford’s perspective: Brentford 1 · 1 drawn · Tottenham 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford | 3 – 0 | Tottenham | W |
| 2026-01-01 | Brentford | 0 – 0 | Tottenham | D |
| 2025-12-06 | Tottenham | 2 – 0 | Brentford | L |
| 2025-02-02 | Brentford | 0 – 2 | Tottenham | L |
| 2024-09-21 | Tottenham | 3 – 1 | Brentford | L |
📈 Recent form
Brentford come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Chelsea. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WBrentford 3-0 ChelseaPremier League
- WReading 1-2 BrentfordLeague Cup
- DBournemouth 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
- DBrentford 1-1 SunderlandPremier League
- DLeeds 1-1 BrentfordPremier League
Tottenham come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Aston Villa.
- LTottenham 2-3 Aston VillaPremier League
- LLiverpool 3-1 TottenhamLeague Cup
- DTottenham 0-0 EvertonPremier League
- DNottingham Forest 0-0 TottenhamPremier League
- LTottenham 0-2 NewcastlePremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. MilamboKnee Injury
- S. van den BergInjury
- M. KudusMuscle Injury
- D. KulusevskiKnee Injury
- W. OdobertKnee Injury
- P. PorroNot in squad
- P. M. SarrInjury
- X. SimonsKnee Injury
- M. van de VenInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Brentford at 46% to win and Tottenham at 26%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Brentford win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford Win | 46% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Tottenham Win | 26% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brentford or Draw at 1.41 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford or Draw | 73% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| Tottenham or Draw | 53% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 58% | @ 1.63 |
| Under 3.5 | 58% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 21% | @ 4.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 38% | @ 2.45 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Brentford or Tottenham is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford +1.75 | 91% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Brentford +1.5 | 90% | – | @ 1.12 |
| Brentford +1.25 | 85% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Brentford +1 | 81% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Tottenham +1.75 | 80% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Brentford +0.75 | 77% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Tottenham +1.5 | 76% | 78% | 1.19 |
| Brentford +0.5 | 73% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Tottenham +1.25 | 70% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Brentford +0.25 | 66% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
| Tottenham +1 | 64% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Brentford 0 | 60% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Tottenham +0.75 | 59% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Brentford -0.25 | 54% | 47% | @ 2.05 |
| Tottenham +0.5 | 53% | 59% | 1.60 |
| Brentford -0.5 | 47% | 41% | @ 2.31 |
| Tottenham +0.25 | 46% | 53% | 1.82 |
| Brentford -0.75 | 41% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Tottenham 0 | 40% | 46% | 2.08 |
| Brentford -1 | 36% | 27% | @ 3.55 |
| Tottenham -0.25 | 34% | 39% | 2.46 |
| Brentford -1.25 | 30% | 24% | @ 3.94 |
| Tottenham -0.5 | 27% | 34% | 2.76 |
| Brentford -1.5 | 24% | 22% | @ 4.28 |
| Tottenham -0.75 | 23% | 28% | 3.46 |
| Brentford -1.75 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Tottenham -1 | 19% | 21% | 4.61 |
| Tottenham -1.25 | 15% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Tottenham -1.75 | 9% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brentford vs Tottenham?
Our model's main pick is Brentford with a +0.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Tottenham?
Our model makes a Brentford win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline for Brentford vs Tottenham.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Tottenham?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for Brentford and 1.52 for Tottenham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Brentford and Tottenham play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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