Tue 13 Oct18:45Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Bristol City vs Blackburn Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bristol City vs Blackburn in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bristol City face Blackburn in the Championship, kicking off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Bristol City have 3 wins from their last 5, while Blackburn have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Bristol City won 2, Blackburn won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bristol City win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bristol City vs Blackburn with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	9.7%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
1	11.1%	12.8%	7.4%	2.9%	0.8%
2	7.3%	8.5%	4.9%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.2%	3.7%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bristol City winDrawBlackburn win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bristol City vs Blackburn comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Bristol City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Bristol City 42%Draw 28%Blackburn 30%

42%28%30%

42%

Bristol City Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Bristol City and Blackburn. Wins shown from Bristol City’s perspective: Bristol City 2 · Blackburn 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-01-25	Bristol City	2 – 1	Blackburn	W
2024-09-14	Blackburn	3 – 0	Bristol City	L
2024-04-10	Bristol City	5 – 0	Blackburn	W
2023-12-12	Blackburn	2 – 1	Bristol City	L

📈 Recent form

Bristol City

Bristol City come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Crystal Palace. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Lincoln.

DCharlton 1-1 Bristol CityChampionship
WCrystal Palace 0-2 Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs
WBristol City 1-0 WatfordChampionship
LBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
LSouthampton 4-1 Bristol CityChampionship

Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.

WBlackburn 2-1 CardiffChampionship
DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bristol City

R. DickieKnee Injury
N. EileIllness
L. TolajKnock

Blackburn

A. ForshawHip Injury
M. JorgensenHamstring Injury
M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
Y. OhashiHamstring Injury
Y. RibeiroHamstring Injury
S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bristol City at 42% to win and Blackburn at 30%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Bristol City win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bristol City Win	42%	45%	@ 2.10
Blackburn Win	30%	26%	@ 3.60
Draw	28%	29%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bristol City or Draw at 1.25 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bristol City or Draw	69%	74%	@ 1.25
Blackburn or Draw	57%	55%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 1.5	71%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	55%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	45%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	29%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	24%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	49%	46%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Bristol City 45%Draw 28%Blackburn 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 What our models say about this match

🔍 What our models say about this match

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	45%
Dixon-Coles	Away	36%
GradientBoosting	Home	43%

Two of our three models agree on the match result; the third sees it differently.

Expected goals: 1.43 for the home side, 1.17 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (8%), 0-1 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bristol City vs Blackburn?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs Blackburn?

Our model makes a Bristol City win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline for Bristol City vs Blackburn.

What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Blackburn?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Bristol City and 1.16 for Blackburn. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bristol City and Blackburn play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.