Celje

Tue 11 Aug2-0Finished

Ararat-Armenia

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Celje 2-0 Ararat-Armenia

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia finished 2-0. Celje won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.33, was void (stake returned).

Celje face Ararat-Armenia in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:15 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Celje won 1, Ararat-Armenia won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celje win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.33

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.82 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	5.7%	3.8%	1.7%	0.6%
1	7.6%	10.3%	7.0%	3.2%	1.1%
2	6.9%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.2%	5.7%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%
4	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Celje winDrawArarat-Armenia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.33, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celje win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Celje 37%Draw 29%Ararat-Armenia 34%

37%29%34%

37%

Celje Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Celje and Ararat-Armenia. Wins shown from Celje’s perspective: Celje 1 · Ararat-Armenia 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-11	Celje	2 – 0	Ararat-Armenia	W
2026-08-04	Ararat-Armenia	2 – 1	Celje	L

📈 Recent form

Celje

Celje come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.

DMura 0-0 Celje1. SNL
LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeUEFA Europa League
LBravo 2-1 Celje1. SNL
LCelje 0-1 Koper1. SNL
LBrinje-Grosuplje 4-1 Celje1. SNL

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Syunik. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Sparta Praha.

WShirak 1-3 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
LArarat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League
WArarat-Armenia 3-0 SyunikPremier League
WArarat 0-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
LPyunik Yerevan 2-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celje at 37% to win and Ararat-Armenia at 34%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Celje win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celje Win	37%	65%	@ 1.42
Ararat-Armenia Win	34%	14%	@ 6.75
Draw	29%	21%	@ 4.35

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celje or Draw at 1.08 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celje or Draw	68%	86%	@ 1.08
Ararat-Armenia or Draw	56%	35%	@ 2.60

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	76%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	62%	55%	@ 1.67
Under 3.5	61%	66%	@ 1.38
Over 3.5	39%	34%	@ 2.70
Under 2.5	38%	45%	@ 2.02
Under 1.5	17%	24%	@ 3.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	49%	@ 1.86
BTTS No	38%	51%	@ 1.81

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Celje or Ararat-Armenia is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ararat-Armenia +2	84%	71%	@ 1.33
Ararat-Armenia +1.75	81%	63%	@ 1.50
Ararat-Armenia +1.5	78%	57%	@ 1.65
Ararat-Armenia +1.25	72%	51%	@ 1.85
Celje +0.5	68%	–	1.09
Ararat-Armenia +1	67%	43%	@ 2.17
Celje +0.25	62%	85%	1.12
Ararat-Armenia +0.75	62%	38%	@ 2.49
Ararat-Armenia +0.5	56%	34%	@ 2.78
Celje 0	56%	–	1.16
Ararat-Armenia +0.25	50%	26%	@ 3.62
Celje -0.25	50%	74%	1.27
Celje -0.5	44%	66%	1.40
Celje -0.75	38%	62%	1.52
Ararat-Armenia -0.25	38%	15%	@ 6.40
Celje -1	33%	57%	1.67
Celje -1.25	28%	49%	1.96
Celje -1.5	22%	43%	2.17
Celje -1.75	19%	37%	2.55
Celje -2	16%	29%	3.21

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our model's main pick is Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.33, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our model makes a Celje win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia.

What is the predicted score for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.82 for Celje and 1.36 for Ararat-Armenia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celje and Ararat-Armenia play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.