CeljeCelje
Wed 26 Aug1-1Finished
Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Celje vs Slovan Bratislava Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Celje 1-1 Slovan Bratislava

Celje vs Slovan Bratislava finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Celje face Slovan Bratislava in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Slovan Bratislava won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celje win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Celje +0.75 @ 1.26
78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 0.96 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.7% 9.3% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
1 13.3% 12.8% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5%
2 9.1% 8.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
3 4.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Celje winDrawSlovan Bratislava win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Celje with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celje win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Celje 46%Draw 29%Slovan Bratislava 24%
46%29%24%
46%
Celje Win
59%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Celje and Slovan Bratislava. Wins shown from Celje’s perspective: 3 drawn · Slovan Bratislava 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-26 Celje 1 – 1 Slovan Bratislava D
2026-08-19 Slovan Bratislava 1 – 1 Celje D
2024-07-30 Slovan Bratislava 5 – 0 Celje L
2024-07-24 Celje 1 – 1 Slovan Bratislava D

📈 Recent form

Celje

Celje come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.

  • DMura 0-0 Celje1. SNL
  • LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeUEFA Europa League
  • LBravo 2-1 Celje1. SNL
  • LCelje 0-1 Koper1. SNL
  • LBrinje-Grosuplje 4-1 Celje1. SNL
Slovan Bratislava

Slovan Bratislava come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Nitra. Their most recent defeat was 1-6 at Paris Saint-Germain.

  • WKomárno 1-2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
  • WNitra 1-3 Slovan BratislavaCup
  • DSlovan Bratislava 3-3 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • LParis Saint-Germain 6-1 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
  • LDunajska Streda 2-0 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Celje
  • L. BejgerShin Injury
  • J. PisekKnee Injury
Slovan Bratislava
  • M. KukharevychInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celje at 46% to win and Slovan Bratislava at 24%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Celje win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Celje Win 46% 39% @ 2.43
Draw 29% 29% @ 3.20
Slovan Bratislava Win 24% 32% @ 2.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celje or Draw at 1.34 (74% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Celje or Draw 74% 68% @ 1.34
Slovan Bratislava or Draw 52% 61% @ 1.49

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 79% 74% @ 1.24
Over 1.5 68% 70% @ 1.30
Under 2.5 59% 54% @ 1.70
Over 2.5 41% 46% @ 2.00
Under 1.5 32% 30% @ 3.05
Over 3.5 21% 26% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 54% 48% @ 1.91
BTTS Yes 46% 52% @ 1.76

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Celje or Slovan Bratislava is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Celje +1.5 90% 85% @ 1.12
Celje +1.25 86% 84% 1.13
Celje +1 82% 82% 1.16
Slovan Bratislava +1.75 79% 85% 1.12
Celje +0.75 78% 75% 1.26
Slovan Bratislava +1.5 75% 80% 1.18
Celje +0.5 74% 68% @ 1.38
Slovan Bratislava +1.25 69% 78% 1.21
Celje +0.25 67% 63% @ 1.50
Slovan Bratislava +1 63% 76% 1.25
Celje 0 61% 55% @ 1.72
Slovan Bratislava +0.75 58% 68% 1.41
Celje -0.25 55% 46% @ 2.09
Slovan Bratislava +0.5 52% 61% 1.55
Celje -0.5 48% 39% @ 2.38
Slovan Bratislava +0.25 45% 54% 1.76
Celje -0.75 42% 32% @ 2.93
Slovan Bratislava 0 39% 45% 2.10
Celje -1 37% 24% @ 3.93
Slovan Bratislava -0.25 33% 37% 2.56
Celje -1.25 31% 22% @ 4.39
Slovan Bratislava -0.5 26% 32% 2.94
Celje -1.5 25% 20% @ 4.65
Slovan Bratislava -0.75 22% 25% 3.81
Celje -1.75 21% 15% @ 6.40
Slovan Bratislava -1 18% 18% 5.33
Slovan Bratislava -1.25 14% 16% 5.90
Slovan Bratislava -1.5 10% 15% 6.40

📈 How the market moved

24%34%44%08/2208/2308/2408/2508/26

Celje 39%Draw 30%Slovan Bratislava 31%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?

Our model's main pick is Celje with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?

Our model makes a Celje win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava.

What is the predicted score for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Celje and 0.96 for Slovan Bratislava. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celje and Slovan Bratislava play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.