Sat 10 Oct11:30Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Charlton vs Bristol City Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlton vs Bristol City in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Charlton face Bristol City in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Charlton have no wins from their last 5, while Bristol City have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bristol City win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlton vs Bristol City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.28

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.11 – 1.24 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	11.8%	7.3%	3.0%	0.9%
1	10.6%	13.1%	8.1%	3.4%	1.0%
2	5.9%	7.3%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
3	2.2%	2.7%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Charlton winDrawBristol City win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Charlton vs Bristol City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bristol City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Charlton 31%Draw 31%Bristol City 38%

31%31%38%

38%

Bristol City Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Cardiff.

LCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
LStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship

Bristol City

Bristol City come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Crystal Palace. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Lincoln.

WCrystal Palace 0-2 Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs
WBristol City 1-0 WatfordChampionship
LBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
LSouthampton 4-1 Bristol CityChampionship
WBurnley 1-2 Bristol CityChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Charlton

N. ChalobahMuscle Injury
M. GoddenMuscle Injury
W. MannionShoulder Injury
K. RamsayAnkle Injury
C. SichenjeKnee Injury
B. KoumetioMuscle Injury

Bristol City

R. DickieKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Charlton at 31% to win and Bristol City at 38%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Bristol City win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bristol City Win	38%	42%	@ 2.25
Charlton Win	31%	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	31%	29%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bristol City or Draw at 1.36 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bristol City or Draw	67%	71%	@ 1.36
Charlton or Draw	60%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	75%	@ 1.28
Over 1.5	68%	70%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	58%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 2.5	42%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	32%	30%	@ 3.20
Over 3.5	21%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS Yes	48%	50%	@ 1.83

📈 How the market moved

Charlton 29%Draw 29%Bristol City 42%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlton vs Bristol City?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Bristol City?

Our model makes a Bristol City win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline for Charlton vs Bristol City.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Bristol City?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.11 for Charlton and 1.24 for Bristol City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Charlton and Bristol City play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.