Fri 30 Oct23:00Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Corinthians vs Mirassol Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Corinthians vs Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Friday 30 October 2026, 23:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Corinthians face Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Friday 30 October 2026, 23:00 UTC. Recent form: Corinthians have no wins from their last 5, while Mirassol have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Corinthians vs Mirassol with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.33

72%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.48 – 1.11 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	8.3%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
1	11.1%	12.3%	6.8%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.1%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.1%	4.5%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Corinthians winDrawMirassol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Corinthians vs Mirassol comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Corinthians win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Corinthians 50%Draw 27%Mirassol 23%

50%27%23%

50%

Corinthians Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Corinthians

Corinthians come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 13. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Vasco da Gama.

LVasco da Gama 3-2 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
DCorinthians 1-1 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
LPalmeiras 4-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
LInternacional 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
LCorinthians 1-3 FluminenseBrazilian Série A

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Internacional. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Bahia.

DMirassol 1-1 São PauloBrazilian Série A
WMirassol 2-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
LBahia 1-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DRB Bragantino 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
WMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Corinthians at 50% to win and Mirassol at 23%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Corinthians Win	50%	58%	@ 1.60
Draw	27%	25%	@ 3.75
Mirassol Win	23%	17%	@ 5.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Corinthians or Draw at 1.14 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Corinthians or Draw	76%	83%	@ 1.14
Mirassol or Draw	49%	42%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	75%	@ 1.28
Over 1.5	73%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	52%	54%	@ 1.75
Over 2.5	48%	46%	@ 2.05
Under 1.5	27%	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	26%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	45%	@ 2.05
BTTS No	48%	55%	@ 1.70

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for Corinthians vs Mirassol.

What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Mirassol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Corinthians and 1.11 for Mirassol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Corinthians and Mirassol play?

Kick-off is Friday 30 October 2026, 23:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.