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⚽ Premier League
Coventry vs Hull City Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Coventry vs Hull City in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Coventry face Hull City in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Coventry won 1, Hull City won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 1.6-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Coventry vs Hull City with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Coventry vs Hull City is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.83 (+4.7% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Coventry and Hull City. Wins shown from Coventry’s perspective: Coventry 1 · 3 drawn · Hull City 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Hull City | 0 – 0 | Coventry | D |
| 2025-04-14 | Hull City | 1 – 1 | Coventry | D |
| 2024-12-14 | Coventry | 2 – 1 | Hull City | W |
| 2024-04-24 | Coventry | 2 – 3 | Hull City | L |
| 2023-09-15 | Hull City | 1 – 1 | Coventry | D |
📈 Recent form
Coventry come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Plymouth. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Arsenal.
- WPlymouth 2-4 CoventryLeague Cup
- LArsenal 3-0 CoventryPremier League
- WCoventry 2-0 MonacoFriendlies Clubs
- WCoventry 3-1 EspanyolFriendlies Clubs
- DNorthampton 0-0 CoventryFriendlies Clubs
Hull City come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Manchester United. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt.
- DStoke City 1-1 Hull CityLeague Cup
- WHull City 2-0 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- DHull City 0-0 NiceFriendlies Clubs
- LEintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
- DKasımpaşa 1-1 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. Kesler-HaydenMuscle Injury
- L. WoolfendenKnee Injury
- H. WrightMuscle Injury
- J. ButlandArm Injury
- J. GelhardtAnkle Injury
- D. GyabiGroin Injury
- C. HughesGroin Injury
- M. JacobHip Injury
- E. MatazoKnee Injury
- O. ZambranoHamstring Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Coventry at 18% to win and Hull City at 17%, with the draw at 65%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 65% | @ 3.45 | +124.4% |
| Hull City Win | 17% | @ 4.53 | -22.8% |
| Coventry Win | 18% | @ 1.91 | -65.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 57% | @ 1.83 | +4.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | @ 2.97 | +3.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | @ 1.26 | +0.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 65% | @ 1.42 | -7.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | @ 2.05 | -12.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | @ 4.10 | -17.1% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 43% |
| GradientBoosting | Draw | 79% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.31 for the home side, 1.29 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Coventry vs Hull City?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.83 (+4.7% value).
Who is the favourite for Coventry vs Hull City?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline for Coventry vs Hull City.
What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Hull City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Coventry and 1.37 for Hull City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Coventry and Hull City play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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