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⚽ Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Crystal Palace face Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Crystal Palace have 1 win from their last 5, while Nottingham Forest have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, 4 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Crystal Palace win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 1.47 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	8.7%	6.4%	3.1%	1.1%
1	8.0%	11.8%	8.7%	4.2%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.0%	5.9%	2.9%	1.1%
3	2.5%	3.6%	2.7%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.8%	1.2%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Crystal Palace winDrawNottingham Forest win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Crystal Palace win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Crystal Palace 36%Draw 31%Nottingham Forest 33%

36%31%33%

36%

Crystal Palace Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest. Wins shown from Crystal Palace’s perspective: 4 drawn · Nottingham Forest 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-01	Nottingham Forest	1 – 1	Crystal Palace	D
2025-08-24	Crystal Palace	1 – 1	Nottingham Forest	D
2025-05-05	Crystal Palace	1 – 1	Nottingham Forest	D
2024-10-21	Nottingham Forest	1 – 0	Crystal Palace	L
2024-03-30	Nottingham Forest	1 – 1	Crystal Palace	D

📈 Recent form

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lech Poznan. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Bristol City.

LCrystal Palace 0-2 Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs
DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
WCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League
LCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League
WCrystal Palace 3-0 MiddlesbroughLeague Cup

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Aston Villa. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Coventry.

LNottingham Forest 0-1 CoventryPremier League
WAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
DNottingham Forest 0-0 TottenhamPremier League
DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
LNottingham Forest 0-2 LeedsLeague Cup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Crystal Palace at 36% to win and Nottingham Forest at 33%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Crystal Palace win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Crystal Palace Win	36%	35%	@ 2.62
Nottingham Forest Win	33%	34%	@ 2.70
Draw	31%	31%	@ 3.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Crystal Palace or Draw at 1.44 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Crystal Palace or Draw	65%	66%	@ 1.44
Nottingham Forest or Draw	62%	65%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	73%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	68%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	54%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	46%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	32%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	23%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	42%	47%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Our model makes a Crystal Palace win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Crystal Palace and 1.47 for Nottingham Forest. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.