CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
Thu 15 Oct16:45Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

CSKA Sofia vs Monaco Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

CSKA Sofia face Monaco in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Monaco win the most likely result at 64%, implying a 0.9-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
CSKA Sofia win 15%
Draw 21%
Monaco win 64%
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.90 – 2.00 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.5% 11.0% 11.0% 7.3% 3.7%
1 5.0% 9.9% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3%
2 2.2% 4.5% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 0-1
CSKA Sofia winDrawMonaco win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of CSKA Sofia vs Monaco. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Monaco win is the most likely result at 64%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

CSKA Sofia 15%Draw 21%Monaco 64%
15%21%64%
64%
Monaco Win
55%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Arda Kardzhali. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WCSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA SofiaFirst League
  • WCSKA Sofia 4-1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • WLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
  • DSpartak Varna 1-1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
  • WCSKA Sofia 3-1 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
Monaco

Monaco come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Marseille. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DMonaco 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
  • WMonaco 2-1 LensLigue 1
  • DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
  • WParis Saint-Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
  • WMonaco 2-0 MarseilleLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices CSKA Sofia at 15% to win and Monaco at 64%, with the draw at 21%. The bookmaker market makes a Monaco win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Monaco Win 64% @ 1.44
Draw 21% @ 4.33
CSKA Sofia Win 15% @ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Monaco or Draw at 1.12 (85% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Monaco or Draw 85% @ 1.12
CSKA Sofia or Draw 36% @ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 0.9-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% @ 1.22
Under 3.5 65% @ 1.44
Over 2.5 55% @ 1.70
Under 2.5 45% @ 2.10
Over 3.5 35% @ 2.62
Under 1.5 23% @ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 50% @ 1.83
BTTS No 50% @ 1.83

📈 How the market moved

12%40%68%10/1010/1110/1210/13

CSKA Sofia 16%Draw 21%Monaco 64%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Monaco win is the most likely result at 64%.

Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

Our model makes a Monaco win the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 0.9-2.0 scoreline for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.90 for CSKA Sofia and 2.00 for Monaco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CSKA Sofia and Monaco play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.