Estonia

Tue 6 Oct0-0Finished

Iceland

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Estonia vs Iceland Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Estonia vs Iceland in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Estonia 0-0 Iceland

Estonia vs Iceland finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Estonia face Iceland in the upcoming UEFA Nations League tips, kicking off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes an Iceland win the most likely result at 60%, implying a 0.8-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Estonia vs Iceland with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Estonia win	17%
Draw	23%
Iceland win	60%
Over 2.5 goals	50%
Both teams to score	48%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.85 – 1.80 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	12.7%	11.4%	6.9%	3.1%
1	6.0%	10.8%	9.7%	5.8%	2.6%
2	2.6%	4.6%	4.1%	2.5%	1.1%
3	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Estonia winDrawIceland win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Estonia vs Iceland. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Iceland win is the most likely result at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 50%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Estonia 17%Draw 23%Iceland 60%

17%23%60%

60%

Iceland Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Estonia and Iceland. Wins shown from Estonia’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-06	Estonia	0 – 0	Iceland	D
2026-09-26	Iceland	1 – 1	Estonia	D

📈 Recent form

Estonia

Estonia come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Luxembourg.

DEstonia 0-0 IcelandUEFA Nations League
WEstonia 1-0 LuxembourgUEFA Nations League
DBulgaria 0-0 EstoniaUEFA Nations League
DIceland 1-1 EstoniaUEFA Nations League
WEstonia 1-0 Faroe IslandsBaltic Cup

Iceland

Iceland come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Bulgaria. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Argentina.

DEstonia 0-0 IcelandUEFA Nations League
WIceland 3-0 BulgariaUEFA Nations League
WLuxembourg 0-3 IcelandUEFA Nations League
DIceland 1-1 EstoniaUEFA Nations League
LArgentina 3-0 IcelandFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Estonia at 17% to win and Iceland at 60%, with the draw at 23%. The bookmaker market makes an Iceland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Iceland Win	60%	@ 1.57
Draw	23%	@ 4.10
Estonia Win	17%	@ 5.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Iceland or Draw at 1.12 (83% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Iceland or Draw	83%	@ 1.12
Estonia or Draw	40%	@ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 0.8-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.90
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.90
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.91

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estonia vs Iceland?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Iceland win is the most likely result at 60%.

Who is the favourite for Estonia vs Iceland?

Our model makes an Iceland win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.8 scoreline for Estonia vs Iceland.

What is the predicted score for Estonia vs Iceland?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.85 for Estonia and 1.80 for Iceland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Estonia and Iceland play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.