Sat 22 Aug2-0Finished

⚽ Premier League

Everton vs Crystal Palace Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Everton vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Everton 2-0 Crystal Palace

Everton vs Crystal Palace finished 2-0. Everton won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Everton face Crystal Palace in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Everton won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Everton win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Everton vs Crystal Palace with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.34

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	9.3%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
1	11.0%	12.7%	7.3%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.6%	8.7%	5.0%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.4%	4.0%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Everton winDrawCrystal Palace win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Everton vs Crystal Palace comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Everton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Everton 40%Draw 29%Crystal Palace 31%

40%29%31%

40%

Everton Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Everton and Crystal Palace. Wins shown from Everton’s perspective: Everton 4 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-22	Everton	2 – 0	Crystal Palace	W
2026-05-10	Crystal Palace	2 – 2	Everton	D
2025-10-05	Everton	2 – 1	Crystal Palace	W
2025-02-15	Crystal Palace	1 – 2	Everton	W
2024-09-28	Everton	2 – 1	Crystal Palace	W

📈 Recent form

Everton

Everton come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ipswich.

WEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
WEverton 1-0 WolvesLeague Cup
DTottenham 0-0 EvertonPremier League
DEverton 2-2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
DBournemouth 1-1 EvertonPremier League

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lech Poznan. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Ipswich.

DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
WCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League
LCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League
WCrystal Palace 3-0 MiddlesbroughLeague Cup
WFulham 2-3 Crystal PalacePremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Everton

T. IroegbunamMuscle Injury
C. NorgaardInjury

Crystal Palace

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Everton at 40% to win and Crystal Palace at 31%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes an Everton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Everton Win	40%	42%	@ 2.25
Crystal Palace Win	31%	29%	@ 3.35
Draw	29%	29%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Everton or Draw at 1.32 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Everton or Draw	68%	71%	@ 1.32
Crystal Palace or Draw	58%	58%	@ 1.64

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	71%	@ 1.34
Over 1.5	72%	74%	@ 1.27
Under 2.5	54%	50%	@ 1.88
Over 2.5	46%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	28%	26%	@ 3.65
Over 3.5	25%	29%	@ 3.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	56%	@ 1.68
BTTS No	48%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Everton or Crystal Palace is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Everton +1.5	87%	–	1.08
Crystal Palace +1.75	83%	83%	1.15
Everton +1.25	82%	86%	1.11
Crystal Palace +1.5	80%	77%	1.21
Everton +1	77%	84%	1.12
Crystal Palace +1.25	75%	–	1.27
Everton +0.75	73%	77%	1.24
Crystal Palace +1	69%	72%	1.32
Everton +0.5	68%	70%	1.35
Crystal Palace +0.75	64%	63%	1.51
Everton +0.25	61%	66%	1.45
Crystal Palace +0.5	58%	56%	1.68
Everton 0	55%	60%	1.59
Crystal Palace +0.25	52%	49%	@ 1.96
Everton -0.25	48%	51%	1.92
Crystal Palace 0	45%	40%	@ 2.37
Everton -0.5	42%	44%	2.15
Crystal Palace -0.25	39%	34%	@ 2.80
Everton -0.75	36%	37%	2.60
Crystal Palace -0.5	32%	30%	@ 3.16
Everton -1	31%	28%	@ 3.42
Crystal Palace -0.75	27%	23%	@ 4.11
Crystal Palace -1	23%	16%	@ 6.00
Everton -1.5	20%	23%	4.00
Crystal Palace -1.25	18%	14%	@ 6.60
Everton -1.75	17%	17%	5.50

📈 How the market moved

Everton 43%Draw 28%Crystal Palace 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Our model makes an Everton win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Everton vs Crystal Palace.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Everton and 1.15 for Crystal Palace. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Everton and Crystal Palace play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.