⚽ Primeira Liga
Famalicão vs Gil Vicente Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Famalicão vs Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.
Result: Famalicão 0-0 Gil Vicente
Famalicão vs Gil Vicente finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Famalicão face Gil Vicente in the upcoming Primeira Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Famalicão have 1 win from their last 5, while Gil Vicente have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Famalicão won 1, Gil Vicente won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Famalicão win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.3-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Famalicão vs Gil Vicente with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Famalicão vs Gil Vicente comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Famalicão or Draw at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Famalicão win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (57%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Famalicão and Gil Vicente. Wins shown from Famalicão’s perspective: Famalicão 1 · 3 drawn · Gil Vicente 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Famalicão | 0 – 0 | Gil Vicente | D |
| 2026-02-01 | Gil Vicente | 5 – 0 | Famalicão | L |
| 2025-08-24 | Famalicão | 0 – 0 | Gil Vicente | D |
| 2025-02-17 | Gil Vicente | 0 – 2 | Famalicão | W |
| 2024-09-14 | Famalicão | 1 – 1 | Gil Vicente | D |
📈 Recent form
Famalicão come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Nacional. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Santa Clara.
- WNacional 0-4 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
- DFamalicão 1-1 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
- DEstrela da Amadora 2-2 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
- DFamalicão 0-0 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga
- LSanta Clara 1-0 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
Gil Vicente come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Casa Pia. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Benfica.
- DGil Vicente 1-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
- LBenfica 3-1 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga
- LGil Vicente 0-1 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
- DFamalicão 0-0 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga
- WGil Vicente 2-0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Famalicão at 48% to win and Gil Vicente at 22%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Famalicão win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicão Win | 48% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | @ 3.20 |
| Gil Vicente Win | 22% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Famalicão or Draw at 1.27 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicão or Draw | 76% | 72% | @ 1.27 |
| Gil Vicente or Draw | 49% | 57% | @ 1.58 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 82% | 77% | @ 1.19 |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 66% | @ 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 59% | @ 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 36% | 34% | @ 2.70 |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 57% | 53% | @ 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 43% | 47% | @ 1.95 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Famalicão or Gil Vicente is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicão +1.25 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Famalicão +1 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Famalicão +0.75 | 79% | – | 1.19 |
| Gil Vicente +1.75 | 77% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Famalicão +0.5 | 76% | 74% | 1.29 |
| Gil Vicente +1.5 | 73% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Famalicão +0.25 | 69% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Gil Vicente +1.25 | 67% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Famalicão 0 | 63% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Gil Vicente +1 | 61% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Famalicão -0.25 | 57% | 53% | @ 1.84 |
| Gil Vicente +0.75 | 55% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Famalicão -0.5 | 51% | 45% | @ 2.11 |
| Gil Vicente +0.5 | 49% | 55% | 1.70 |
| Famalicão -0.75 | 45% | 38% | @ 2.52 |
| Gil Vicente +0.25 | 43% | 47% | 2.04 |
| Famalicão -1 | 39% | 28% | @ 3.39 |
| Gil Vicente 0 | 37% | 37% | 2.55 |
| Famalicão -1.25 | 33% | 25% | @ 3.81 |
| Gil Vicente -0.25 | 31% | 31% | 3.13 |
| Famalicão -1.5 | 27% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Gil Vicente -0.5 | 24% | 26% | 3.62 |
| Famalicão -1.75 | 23% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Gil Vicente -1 | 17% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Gil Vicente -1.25 | 13% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Famalicão vs Gil Vicente?
Our model's main pick is Famalicão or Draw at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Famalicão vs Gil Vicente?
Our model makes a Famalicão win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.3-0.9 scoreline for Famalicão vs Gil Vicente.
What is the predicted score for Famalicão vs Gil Vicente?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.31 for Famalicão and 0.89 for Gil Vicente. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Famalicão and Gil Vicente play?
Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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