⚽ Primeira Liga

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Famalicao face GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Famalicao have 1 win from their last 5, while GIL Vicente have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Famalicao won 2, GIL Vicente won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Famalicao win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.4-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.42

65%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.35 – 0.88 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	9.5%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
1	14.5%	12.8%	5.6%	1.6%	0.4%
2	9.8%	8.6%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
3	4.4%	3.9%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.5%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Famalicao winDrawGIL Vicente win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. On the match result, the model rates a Famalicao win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.65 (+1.4% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.65, 62% model probability, +1.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Famalicao 49%Draw 29%GIL Vicente 22%

49%29%22%

49%

Famalicao Win

62%

Under 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS no

+1.4%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Famalicao and GIL Vicente. Wins shown from Famalicao’s perspective: Famalicao 2 · 2 drawn · GIL Vicente 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-01	GIL Vicente	5 – 0	Famalicao	L
2025-08-24	Famalicao	0 – 0	GIL Vicente	D
2025-02-17	GIL Vicente	0 – 2	Famalicao	W
2024-09-14	Famalicao	1 – 1	GIL Vicente	D
2024-03-29	GIL Vicente	1 – 2	Famalicao	W

📈 Recent form

Famalicao

Famalicao come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Tondela. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Santa Clara.

LSanta Clara 1-0 FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
LFamalicao 1-2 MaritimoPrimeira Liga
DEstoril 1-1 FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
LFamalicao 2-3 ComoComo Cup
WFamalicao 1-0 TondelaFriendlies Clubs

GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Casa Pia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Sporting CP.

WGIL Vicente 2-0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
WGIL Vicente 1-0 Rio AvePrimeira Liga
DGIL Vicente 2-2 MoreirenseFriendlies Clubs
DGIL Vicente 1-1 Felgueiras 1932Friendlies Clubs
LSporting CP 3-0 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Famalicao at 49% to win and GIL Vicente at 22%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Famalicao win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	29%	@ 3.25	-5.5%
Famalicao Win	49%	@ 1.90	-6.8%
GIL Vicente Win	22%	@ 4.20	-8.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Famalicao or Draw at 1.22 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Famalicao or Draw	76%	@ 1.22	-7.3%
GIL Vicente or Draw	49%	@ 1.85	-9.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	62%	@ 1.65	+1.4%
Under 3.5	81%	@ 1.22	-0.8%
Under 1.5	35%	@ 2.85	-1.0%
Over 1.5	65%	@ 1.42	-7.3%
Over 2.5	38%	@ 2.20	-15.2%
Over 3.5	19%	@ 4.20	-21.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	57%	@ 1.77	+0.7%
BTTS Yes	43%	@ 1.95	-16.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 65% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.65 (+1.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?

Our model makes a Famalicao win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.4-0.9 scoreline for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente.

What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Famalicao and 0.88 for GIL Vicente. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Famalicao and GIL Vicente play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.