FC Lugano

Thu 15 Oct16:45Upcoming

FK Crvena Zvezda

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Lugano face FK Crvena Zvezda in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
FC Lugano win	34%
Draw	28%
FK Crvena Zvezda win	38%
Over 2.5 goals	55%
Both teams to score	59%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.40 – 1.50 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	8.3%	6.2%	3.1%	1.2%
1	7.7%	11.6%	8.7%	4.3%	1.6%
2	5.4%	8.1%	6.1%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.5%	3.8%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Lugano winDrawFK Crvena Zvezda win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda. Based on the bookmaker odds, a FK Crvena Zvezda win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 59%.

📊 Key numbers

FC Lugano 34%Draw 28%FK Crvena Zvezda 38%

34%28%38%

38%

FK Crvena Zvezda Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

FC Lugano

FC Lugano come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FC Luzern. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Hellas Verona.

WFC Lugano 4-0 FC LuzernSuper League
LFC Lugano 1-3 Hellas VeronaFriendlies Clubs
WLausanne 0-4 FC LuganoSuper League
WFC Lugano 4-1 FC St. GallenSuper League
DFC Lugano 2-2 BSC Young BoysSuper League

FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Cukaricki. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Plzen.

WRadnicki 1923 0-3 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
DRadnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
WFK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
LPlzen 4-1 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa League
WFK Crvena Zvezda 4-0 CukarickiSuper Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Lugano at 34% to win and FK Crvena Zvezda at 38%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
FK Crvena Zvezda Win	38%	@ 2.40
FC Lugano Win	34%	@ 2.70
Draw	28%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw at 1.44 (66% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw	66%	@ 1.44
FC Lugano or Draw	62%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	65%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	55%	@ 1.70
Under 2.5	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	35%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

FC Lugano 34%Draw 27%FK Crvena Zvezda 39%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a FK Crvena Zvezda win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

Our model makes a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline for FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda.

What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for FC Lugano and 1.50 for FK Crvena Zvezda. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Lugano and FK Crvena Zvezda play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.