⚽ UEFA Champions League

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

FK Crvena Zvezda face Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 2.3-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.5 @ 2.07

74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.29 – 1.72 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.8%	3.1%	2.7%	1.5%	0.7%
1	4.2%	7.1%	6.1%	3.5%	1.5%
2	4.8%	8.2%	7.0%	4.0%	1.7%
3	3.6%	6.2%	5.4%	3.1%	1.3%
4	2.1%	3.6%	3.1%	1.8%	0.8%

Projected score: 2-1

FK Crvena Zvezda winDrawHapoel Beer Sheva win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Hapoel Beer Sheva with a +1.5 start at odds 2.07, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (74%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Hapoel Beer Sheva with a +1.25 start at odds 2.48 (+70.3% model value).

Best value

Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.25 at odds 2.48, 69% model probability, +70.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FK Crvena Zvezda 38%Draw 26%Hapoel Beer Sheva 36%

38%26%36%

38%

FK Crvena Zvezda Win

76%

Over 2.5 goals

74%

BTTS yes

+70.3%

Best value: Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.25

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FK Crvena Zvezda at 38% to win and Hapoel Beer Sheva at 36%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win	36%	11.50	+319.2%
Draw	26%	5.60	+45.5%
FK Crvena Zvezda Win	38%	1.24	-53.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw at 3.85 (62% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw	62%	3.85	+140.4%
FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw	64%	1.04	-33.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	57%	2.10	+19.3%
Over 2.5	76%	1.45	+10.7%
Over 1.5	91%	1.14	+3.6%
Under 3.5	43%	1.70	-26.6%
Under 2.5	24%	2.70	-36.1%
Under 1.5	9%	5.50	-49.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 74%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	74%	1.80	+32.9%
BTTS No	26%	1.85	-51.6%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FK Crvena Zvezda or Hapoel Beer Sheva is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Hapoel Beer Sheva 0	41%	6.40	+161.0%
Hapoel Beer Sheva -0.25	35%	7.00	+144.6%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.75	58%	3.54	+105.0%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1	63%	3.16	+100.2%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5	52%	3.74	+96.1%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.25	69%	2.48	+70.3%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.5	74%	2.07	+53.9%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.75	78%	1.92	+49.2%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +2	82%	1.67	+36.1%
FK Crvena Zvezda +0.25	65%	1.10	-28.4%
FK Crvena Zvezda 0	59%	1.12	-33.7%
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.25	53%	1.21	-35.7%
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.5	48%	1.26	-40.1%
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.75	42%	1.28	-45.9%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1	37%	1.34	-50.9%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.25	31%	1.51	-52.8%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.5	26%	1.71	-56.1%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.75	22%	1.90	-58.1%
FK Crvena Zvezda -2	18%	2.18	-59.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	51%
GradientBoosting	Away	39%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.76 for the home side, 1.33 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Our main pick is Hapoel Beer Sheva with a +1.5 start at odds 2.07, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Hapoel Beer Sheva with a +1.25 start at 2.48 (+70.3% value).

Who is the favourite for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Our model makes a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.7 scoreline for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva.

What is the predicted score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.29 for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.72 for Hapoel Beer Sheva. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FK Crvena Zvezda and Hapoel Beer Sheva play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.