⚽ Premier League

Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fulham vs Chelsea in the Premier League. Kick-off Monday 24 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Fulham face Chelsea in the Premier League, kicking off Monday 24 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Fulham won 2, Chelsea won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.5-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fulham vs Chelsea with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Fulham or Draw @ 1.80

63%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.46 – 1.47 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	7.8%	5.8%	2.8%	1.0%
1	7.8%	11.5%	8.4%	4.1%	1.5%
2	5.7%	8.4%	6.1%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.8%	4.1%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Fulham winDrawChelsea win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Fulham or Draw at odds 1.80, the selection our model is most confident in at 63%. On the match result, the model rates a Fulham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

Best value

Fulham or Draw at odds 1.80, 63% model probability, +13.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Fulham 35%Draw 30%Chelsea 35%

35%30%35%

35%

Fulham Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

+13.8%

Best value: Fulham or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Fulham and Chelsea. Wins shown from Fulham’s perspective: Fulham 2 · Chelsea 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-07	Fulham	2 – 1	Chelsea	W
2025-08-30	Chelsea	2 – 0	Fulham	L
2025-04-20	Fulham	1 – 2	Chelsea	L
2024-12-26	Chelsea	1 – 2	Fulham	W
2024-01-13	Chelsea	1 – 0	Fulham	L

📈 Recent form

Fulham

Fulham come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Newcastle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Crystal Palace.

WFulham 1-0 VfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs
DMalaga 2-2 FulhamFriendlies Clubs
LFulham 1-2 Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs
WFarense 1-2 FulhamFriendlies Clubs
WFulham 2-0 NewcastlePremier League

Chelsea

Chelsea come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to AC Milan. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Juventus.

WChelsea 3-1 Real SociedadFriendlies Clubs
DJohor Darul Takzim FC 3-3 ChelseaFriendlies Clubs
WChelsea 3-0 AC MilanFriendlies Clubs
LChelsea 0-1 JuventusFriendlies Clubs
LChelsea 1-2 TottenhamFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fulham

J. AndersenSuspended (red card)
T. CairneyKnee Injury

Chelsea

W. FofanaSuspended (red card)
J. HendersonWrist Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fulham at 35% to win and Chelsea at 35%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Fulham Win	35%	@ 3.45	+21.6%
Draw	30%	@ 3.70	+9.3%
Chelsea Win	35%	@ 1.96	-31.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fulham or Draw at 1.80 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Fulham or Draw	63%	@ 1.80	+13.8%
Chelsea or Draw	63%	@ 1.30	-17.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.50	-0.6%
Under 2.5	44%	@ 2.25	-1.2%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.20	-5.2%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.33	-9.1%
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.62	-9.1%
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.55	-14.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	40%	@ 2.35	-5.4%
BTTS Yes	60%	@ 1.55	-7.4%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	39%
Dixon-Coles	Away	37%
GradientBoosting	Home	34%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.30 for the home side, 1.30 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 0-0 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Our main pick is Fulham or Draw at odds 1.80, with 63% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline for Fulham vs Chelsea.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Chelsea?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for Fulham and 1.47 for Chelsea. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fulham and Chelsea play?

Kick-off is Monday 24 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.