Thu 15 Oct16:45Upcoming
AarhusAarhus

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Gent vs Aarhus Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gent vs Aarhus in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Gent face Aarhus in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Gent win the most likely result at 58%, implying a 1.8-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gent vs Aarhus with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Gent win 58%
Draw 23%
Aarhus win 19%
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 48%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.80 – 0.95 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 10.9% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4%
2 10.4% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
3 6.2% 5.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
4 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Gent winDrawAarhus win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Gent vs Aarhus. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Gent win is the most likely result at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Gent 58%Draw 23%Aarhus 19%
58%23%19%
58%
Gent Win
51%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Gent

Gent come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cercle Brugge. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WZulte Waregem 0-2 GentJupiler Pro League
  • WGent 2-1 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
  • DGenk 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League
  • WCercle Brugge 0-3 GentJupiler Pro League
  • WGent 1-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
Aarhus

Aarhus come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at Skjold Sæby. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at FC Nordsjaelland.

  • WAarhus 2-1 Vendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs
  • DAC Horsens 2-2 AarhusSuperliga
  • WSkjold Sæby 1-6 AarhusDBU Pokalen
  • LFC Nordsjaelland 2-0 AarhusSuperliga
  • DAarhus 2-2 SilkeborgSuperliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Gent at 58% to win and Aarhus at 19%, with the draw at 23%. The bookmaker market makes a Gent win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Gent Win 58% @ 1.60
Draw 23% @ 4.00
Aarhus Win 19% @ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gent or Draw at 1.18 (81% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Gent or Draw 81% @ 1.18
Aarhus or Draw 42% @ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 75% @ 1.25
Under 3.5 71% @ 1.33
Over 2.5 51% @ 1.85
Under 2.5 49% @ 1.95
Over 3.5 29% @ 3.25
Under 1.5 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 51% @ 1.80
BTTS Yes 49% @ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

15%39%63%10/1010/1110/1210/13

Gent 59%Draw 22%Aarhus 19%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gent vs Aarhus?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Gent win is the most likely result at 58%.

Who is the favourite for Gent vs Aarhus?

Our model makes a Gent win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline for Gent vs Aarhus.

What is the predicted score for Gent vs Aarhus?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.80 for Gent and 0.95 for Aarhus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gent and Aarhus play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.