Greece

Sun 4 Oct0-0Finished

Germany

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Greece vs Germany Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Greece vs Germany in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Sunday 04 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Greece 0-0 Germany

Greece vs Germany finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Greece face Germany in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Sunday 04 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Greece won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Germany win the most likely result at 52%, implying a 1.1-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Greece vs Germany with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Greece win	23%
Draw	25%
Germany win	52%
Over 2.5 goals	57%
Both teams to score	59%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 1.80 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	9.4%	8.5%	5.1%	2.3%
1	6.0%	10.8%	9.8%	5.9%	2.6%
2	3.5%	6.2%	5.6%	3.4%	1.5%
3	1.3%	2.4%	2.1%	1.3%	0.6%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Greece winDrawGermany win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Greece vs Germany. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Germany win is the most likely result at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 57%. Both teams to score: yes at 59%.

📊 Key numbers

Greece 23%Draw 25%Germany 52%

23%25%52%

52%

Germany Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Greece and Germany. Wins shown from Greece’s perspective: Greece 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-04	Greece	0 – 0	Germany	D
2026-09-27	Germany	0 – 1	Greece	W

📈 Recent form

Greece

Greece come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Germany. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Italy.

DGreece 0-0 GermanyUEFA Nations League
DGreece 2-2 NetherlandsUEFA Nations League
WGermany 0-1 GreeceUEFA Nations League
WSerbia 1-2 GreeceUEFA Nations League
LGreece 0-1 ItalyFriendlies

Germany

Germany come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Serbia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Greece.

DGreece 0-0 GermanyUEFA Nations League
WGermany 2-0 SerbiaUEFA Nations League
LGermany 0-1 GreeceUEFA Nations League
DNetherlands 1-1 GermanyUEFA Nations League
WUSA 1-2 GermanyFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Greece at 23% to win and Germany at 52%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Germany win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Germany Win	52%	@ 1.83
Draw	25%	@ 3.80
Greece Win	23%	@ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Germany or Draw at 1.22 (77% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Germany or Draw	77%	@ 1.22
Greece or Draw	48%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.18
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	57%	@ 1.65
Under 2.5	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	@ 2.25

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Greece vs Germany?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Germany win is the most likely result at 52%.

Who is the favourite for Greece vs Germany?

Our model makes a Germany win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline for Greece vs Germany.

What is the predicted score for Greece vs Germany?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Greece and 1.80 for Germany. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Greece and Germany play?

Kick-off is Sunday 04 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.