vs
⚽ Premier League
Hull City vs Manchester United Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hull City vs Manchester United in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.
Hull City face Manchester United in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Manchester United win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hull City vs Manchester United with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Hull City vs Manchester United is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Hull City with a +2 start at odds 1.46, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Manchester United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Hull City with a +0.75 start at odds 2.92 (+56.0% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Hull City come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Konyaspor. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt.
- DHull City 0-0 NiceFriendlies Clubs
- LEintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
- DKasımpaşa 1-1 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
- WRizespor 1-2 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
- WKonyaspor 0-3 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
Manchester United come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Rosenborg. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at home to AC Milan.
- LManchester United 2-4 AC MilanFriendlies Clubs
- DLeeds 1-1 Manchester UnitedFriendlies Clubs
- DManchester United 1-1 Paris Saint GermainFriendlies Clubs
- WManchester United 2-1 Atletico MadridFriendlies Clubs
- WRosenborg 0-5 Manchester UnitedFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 15 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. ButlandArm Injury
- J. GelhardtAnkle Injury
- D. GyabiGroin Injury
- C. HughesGroin Injury
- M. JacobHip Injury
- E. MatazoKnee Injury
- O. ZambranoHamstring Injury
- C. DramehMuscle Injury
- T. HeatonInjury
- M. UgarteKnee Injury
- M. de LigtBack Injury
- K. DarlowSurgery
- M. MountFoot Injury
- B. SeskoLeg Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Hull City at 18% to win and Manchester United at 48%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Manchester United win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 34% | @ 4.50 | +54.9% |
| Hull City Win | 18% | @ 7.60 | +36.0% |
| Manchester United Win | 48% | @ 1.40 | -33.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hull City or Draw at 2.85 (47% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City or Draw | 47% | @ 2.85 | +34.8% |
| Manchester United or Draw | 77% | @ 1.08 | -16.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.42 | -3.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | @ 2.10 | -3.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.22 | -5.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 4.20 | -6.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | @ 1.70 | -7.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 2.80 | -10.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | @ 1.93 | +11.1% |
| BTTS No | 42% | @ 1.80 | -23.6% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Hull City or Manchester United is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City 0 | 35% | @ 6.80 | +138.7% |
| Hull City -0.25 | 29% | @ 6.80 | +97.3% |
| Hull City +0.25 | 41% | @ 4.16 | +71.4% |
| Hull City +0.75 | 53% | @ 2.92 | +56.0% |
| Hull City +0.5 | 47% | @ 3.26 | +54.2% |
| Hull City +1 | 59% | @ 2.47 | +46.6% |
| Hull City +1.25 | 66% | @ 2.12 | +38.5% |
| Hull City +1.5 | 72% | @ 1.83 | +31.3% |
| Hull City +1.75 | 76% | @ 1.67 | +25.8% |
| Hull City +2 | 80% | @ 1.46 | +16.2% |
| Manchester United +0.5 | 77% | 1.07 | -17.5% |
| Manchester United +0.25 | 71% | 1.10 | -21.9% |
| Manchester United -0.25 | 59% | 1.24 | -27.1% |
| Manchester United 0 | 65% | 1.10 | -28.6% |
| Manchester United -0.5 | 53% | 1.33 | -30.1% |
| Manchester United -0.75 | 47% | 1.41 | -34.2% |
| Manchester United -1 | 41% | 1.54 | -37.6% |
| Manchester United -1.25 | 34% | 1.75 | -39.8% |
| Manchester United -2 | 20% | 2.75 | -43.9% |
| Manchester United -1.5 | 28% | 1.97 | -44.0% |
| Manchester United -1.75 | 24% | 2.25 | -45.2% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 41% |
| GradientBoosting | Away | 52% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.01 for the home side, 1.66 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hull City vs Manchester United?
Our main pick is Hull City with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Hull City with a +0.75 start at 2.92 (+56.0% value).
Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Manchester United?
Our model makes a Manchester United win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Hull City vs Manchester United.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Manchester United?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Hull City and 1.36 for Manchester United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Hull City and Manchester United play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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