Kairat Almaty
Levski Sofia⚽ UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Result: Kairat Almaty 0-1 Levski Sofia
Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia finished 0-1. Levski Sofia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Kairat Almaty face Levski Sofia in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Levski Sofia won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Levski Sofia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia. Wins shown from Kairat Almaty’s perspective: Levski Sofia 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Kairat Almaty | 0 – 1 | Levski Sofia | L |
| 2026-08-04 | Levski Sofia | 1 – 0 | Kairat Almaty | L |
📈 Recent form
Kairat Almaty come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zhenys. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Astana.
- LFC Astana 1-0 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
- LKairat Almaty 1-4 FK Tobol KostanayPremier League
- WKairat Almaty 3-0 ZhenysPremier League
- WKaspiy 0-3 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
- WYelimay Semey 0-2 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
Levski Sofia come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Spartak Varna. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Red Bull Salzburg.
- LLevski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- LLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
- WLevski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948First League
- LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- WLevski Sofia 6-0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Kairat Almaty at 30% to win and Levski Sofia at 40%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia Win | 40% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Kairat Almaty Win | 30% | 37% | @ 2.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kairat Almaty or Draw at 1.40 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty or Draw | 67% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Levski Sofia or Draw | 58% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 78% | @ 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 22% | @ 4.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 48% | @ 1.90 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 52% | @ 1.78 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Kairat Almaty or Levski Sofia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty +1.5 | 85% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Levski Sofia +1.75 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Kairat Almaty +1.25 | 81% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Levski Sofia +1.5 | 79% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Kairat Almaty +1 | 76% | – | 1.17 |
| Levski Sofia +1.25 | 74% | – | 1.18 |
| Kairat Almaty +0.75 | 71% | 72% | 1.30 |
| Levski Sofia +1 | 69% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Kairat Almaty +0.5 | 67% | 65% | 1.45 |
| Levski Sofia +0.75 | 64% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Kairat Almaty +0.25 | 60% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Levski Sofia +0.5 | 58% | 62% | 1.51 |
| Kairat Almaty 0 | 54% | 52% | 1.82 |
| Levski Sofia +0.25 | 52% | 56% | 1.68 |
| Kairat Almaty -0.25 | 48% | 44% | @ 2.17 |
| Levski Sofia 0 | 46% | 48% | 1.98 |
| Kairat Almaty -0.5 | 42% | 38% | @ 2.47 |
| Levski Sofia -0.25 | 40% | 40% | 2.35 |
| Kairat Almaty -0.75 | 36% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Levski Sofia -0.5 | 33% | 35% | 2.73 |
| Kairat Almaty -1 | 31% | 21% | @ 4.42 |
| Levski Sofia -0.75 | 29% | 28% | 3.42 |
| Kairat Almaty -1.5 | 21% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Levski Sofia -1.25 | 19% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Kairat Almaty -1.75 | 17% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Levski Sofia -1.5 | 15% | 17% | 5.75 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia.
What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Kairat Almaty and 1.39 for Levski Sofia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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