⚽ UEFA Champions League

Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Kairat Almaty face Levski Sofia in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.41

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 1.39 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	8.9%	6.2%	2.9%	1.0%
1	8.7%	12.1%	8.4%	3.9%	1.4%
2	5.9%	8.2%	5.7%	2.6%	0.9%
3	2.7%	3.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Kairat Almaty winDrawLevski Sofia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.41, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Levski Sofia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.29 (+18.8% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.29, 52% model probability, +18.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Kairat Almaty 30%Draw 30%Levski Sofia 40%

30%30%40%

40%

Levski Sofia Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+18.8%

Best value: Over 2.5

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kairat Almaty at 30% to win and Levski Sofia at 40%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Levski Sofia Win	40%	2.77	+9.4%
Draw	30%	3.16	-4.1%
Kairat Almaty Win	30%	2.52	-23.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levski Sofia or Draw at 1.50 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Levski Sofia or Draw	70%	1.50	+4.3%
Kairat Almaty or Draw	60%	1.41	-14.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	30%	4.31	+28.0%
Over 2.5	52%	2.29	+18.8%
Over 1.5	76%	1.41	+7.3%
Under 3.5	70%	1.20	-15.6%
Under 2.5	48%	1.59	-23.2%
Under 1.5	24%	2.78	-33.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	56%	1.93	+7.9%
BTTS No	44%	1.77	-21.9%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Kairat Almaty or Levski Sofia is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Kairat Almaty -1	31%	4.42	+37.8%
Kairat Almaty -1.75	17%	7.00	+22.1%
Kairat Almaty -1.5	21%	5.90	+21.4%
Kairat Almaty -0.75	36%	3.10	+13.3%
Kairat Almaty -0.25	48%	2.17	+4.0%
Kairat Almaty -0.5	42%	2.47	+3.4%
Levski Sofia -1.25	19%	5.25	+1.6%
Kairat Almaty 0	54%	1.82	-1.4%
Levski Sofia -0.75	29%	3.42	-2.2%
Kairat Almaty +1.5	85%	1.14	-2.8%
Kairat Almaty +0.5	67%	1.45	-3.6%
Kairat Almaty +0.25	60%	1.58	-4.1%
Kairat Almaty +1.25	81%	1.16	-6.5%
Kairat Almaty +0.75	71%	1.30	-6.9%
Levski Sofia -0.25	40%	2.35	-7.1%
Levski Sofia -0.5	33%	2.73	-8.9%
Levski Sofia +1.75	83%	1.10	-9.2%
Levski Sofia 0	46%	1.98	-9.3%
Levski Sofia +1.5	79%	1.13	-10.2%
Kairat Almaty +1	76%	1.17	-11.1%
Levski Sofia +0.5	58%	1.51	-12.3%
Levski Sofia +1.25	74%	1.18	-12.5%
Levski Sofia +0.25	52%	1.68	-12.7%
Levski Sofia +0.75	64%	1.35	-13.9%
Levski Sofia -1.5	15%	5.75	-15.4%
Levski Sofia +1	69%	1.20	-17.4%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	38%
GradientBoosting	Away	40%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.52 for the home side, 1.33 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.41, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.29 (+18.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?

Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia.

What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Kairat Almaty and 1.39 for Levski Sofia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.