⚽ Premier League

Leeds vs Brentford Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Leeds vs Brentford in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Leeds face Brentford in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Leeds have 3 wins from their last 5, while Brentford have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Leeds win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Leeds vs Brentford with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.28

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.49 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	7.9%	5.3%	2.4%	0.8%
1	8.7%	11.8%	7.9%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.5%	8.8%	5.9%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.2%	4.3%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.6%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Leeds winDrawBrentford win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Leeds vs Brentford is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Leeds win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.93 (+4.2% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.93, 54% model probability, +4.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Leeds 41%Draw 28%Brentford 32%

41%28%32%

41%

Leeds Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

+4.2%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Leeds and Brentford. Wins shown from Leeds’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-21	Leeds	0 – 0	Brentford	D
2025-12-14	Brentford	1 – 1	Leeds	D

📈 Recent form

Leeds

Leeds come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FC Augsburg. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WNottingham Forest 0-2 LeedsLeague Cup
WNottingham Forest 0-1 LeedsPremier League
WLeeds 4-0 FC AugsburgFriendlies Clubs
DLeeds 1-1 Manchester UnitedFriendlies Clubs
WLeeds 2-0 RB LeipzigFriendlies Clubs

Brentford

Brentford come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 21 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Eintracht Frankfurt. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WBirmingham 1-6 BrentfordLeague Cup
WBrentford 3-0 TottenhamPremier League
WBrentford 7-0 Eintracht FrankfurtFriendlies Clubs
WRennes 2-4 BrentfordFriendlies Clubs
DLiverpool 1-1 BrentfordPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Leeds at 41% to win and Brentford at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Leeds win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Leeds Win	41%	@ 2.58	+5.6%
Draw	28%	@ 3.47	-4.2%
Brentford Win	32%	@ 2.80	-11.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.93	+4.2%
Over 3.5	32%	@ 3.23	+2.4%
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.28	-0.7%
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.37	-6.4%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 1.96	-9.8%
Under 1.5	22%	@ 3.85	-13.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leeds vs Brentford?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.93 (+4.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Leeds vs Brentford?

Our model makes a Leeds win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Leeds vs Brentford.

What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Brentford?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Leeds and 1.35 for Brentford. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Leeds and Brentford play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.