Sun 30 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Premier League

Leeds vs Brentford Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Leeds vs Brentford in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Leeds 1-1 Brentford

Leeds vs Brentford finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Leeds face Brentford in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Leeds have 3 wins from their last 5, while Brentford have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Leeds win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Leeds vs Brentford with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.27

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.45 – 1.32 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	8.3%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
1	9.1%	12.0%	7.9%	3.5%	1.1%
2	6.6%	8.7%	5.7%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.2%	4.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.5%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Leeds winDrawBrentford win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Leeds vs Brentford comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Leeds win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Leeds 41%Draw 28%Brentford 32%

41%28%32%

41%

Leeds Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Leeds and Brentford. Wins shown from Leeds’s perspective: 3 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Leeds	1 – 1	Brentford	D
2026-03-21	Leeds	0 – 0	Brentford	D
2025-12-14	Brentford	1 – 1	Leeds	D

📈 Recent form

Leeds

Leeds come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Newcastle. Their only defeat in that run was 3-6 at Chelsea.

DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
WLeeds 4-1 NewcastlePremier League
LChelsea 6-3 LeedsLeague Cup
DBrighton 1-1 LeedsPremier League
DLeeds 1-1 BrentfordPremier League

Brentford

Brentford come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Chelsea. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WBrentford 3-0 ChelseaPremier League
WReading 1-2 BrentfordLeague Cup
DBournemouth 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
DBrentford 1-1 SunderlandPremier League
DLeeds 1-1 BrentfordPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Leeds

I. GruevKnee Injury
M. JosephKnee Injury

Brentford

A. MilamboKnee Injury
S. van den BergInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Leeds at 41% to win and Brentford at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Leeds win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Leeds Win	41%	37%	@ 2.60
Brentford Win	32%	35%	@ 2.70
Draw	28%	28%	@ 3.45

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Leeds or Draw at 1.46 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Leeds or Draw	68%	65%	@ 1.46
Brentford or Draw	58%	63%	@ 1.49

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	75%	@ 1.27
Under 3.5	70%	70%	@ 1.34
Over 2.5	52%	51%	@ 1.86
Under 2.5	48%	49%	@ 1.93
Over 3.5	30%	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	24%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	56%	@ 1.65
BTTS No	44%	44%	@ 2.12

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Leeds or Brentford is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Leeds +1.75	89%	86%	1.10
Leeds +1.5	87%	82%	1.14
Brentford +1.75	84%	86%	1.11
Leeds +1.25	82%	81%	1.17
Brentford +1.5	80%	81%	1.15
Leeds +1	77%	80%	1.20
Brentford +1.25	75%	79%	1.19
Leeds +0.75	72%	72%	1.33
Brentford +1	70%	77%	1.24
Leeds +0.5	68%	65%	1.47
Brentford +0.75	64%	69%	1.39
Leeds +0.25	61%	59%	1.61
Brentford +0.5	58%	63%	1.51
Leeds 0	55%	52%	@ 1.88
Brentford +0.25	52%	56%	1.70
Leeds -0.25	48%	44%	@ 2.19
Brentford 0	45%	48%	2.00
Leeds -0.5	42%	37%	@ 2.52
Brentford -0.25	39%	41%	2.35
Leeds -0.75	36%	31%	@ 3.08
Brentford -0.5	32%	35%	2.67
Leeds -1	30%	23%	@ 4.25
Brentford -0.75	28%	28%	3.37
Leeds -1.25	25%	21%	@ 4.50
Brentford -1	23%	20%	@ 4.68
Leeds -1.5	20%	19%	4.95
Brentford -1.25	18%	19%	5.00
Leeds -1.75	16%	14%	@ 6.60
Brentford -1.5	13%	18%	5.35
Brentford -1.75	11%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Leeds 37%Draw 28%Brentford 35%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leeds vs Brentford?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Leeds vs Brentford?

Our model makes a Leeds win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Leeds vs Brentford.

What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Brentford?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Leeds and 1.32 for Brentford. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Leeds and Brentford play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.