Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FC⚽ UEFA Champions League
Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 18 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Levski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FC
Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.41, landed.
Levski Sofia face AEK Athens FC in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 18 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, AEK Athens FC won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 2.0-0.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 18.0% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.41, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Levski Sofia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (71%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Levski Sofia and AEK Athens FC. Wins shown from Levski Sofia’s perspective: 1 drawn · AEK Athens FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | AEK Athens FC | 4 – 0 | Levski Sofia | L |
| 2026-08-18 | Levski Sofia | 0 – 0 | AEK Athens FC | D |
📈 Recent form
Levski Sofia come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Spartak Varna. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Red Bull Salzburg.
- LLevski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- LLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
- WLevski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948First League
- LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- WLevski Sofia 6-0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
AEK Athens FC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Aris Thessalonikis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WVolos NFC 1-2 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
- DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
- WAEK Athens FC 1-0 Lask LinzUEFA Champions League
- WAEK Athens FC 5-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
- WNestos Chrisoupolis 0-2 AEK Athens FCCup
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Levski Sofia at 49% to win and AEK Athens FC at 23%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia Win | 49% | 34% | @ 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| AEK Athens FC Win | 23% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levski Sofia or Draw at 1.44 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia or Draw | 76% | 64% | @ 1.44 |
| AEK Athens FC or Draw | 49% | 66% | @ 1.38 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 74% | @ 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 69% | @ 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 55% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 45% | @ 2.02 |
| Under 1.5 | 31% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 71%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 71% | 48% | @ 1.91 |
| BTTS Yes | 29% | 52% | @ 1.76 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Levski Sofia or AEK Athens FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia +1.75 | 93% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Levski Sofia +1.5 | 91% | 79% | @ 1.17 |
| Levski Sofia +1.25 | 87% | – | @ 1.20 |
| Levski Sofia +1 | 83% | – | @ 1.24 |
| Levski Sofia +0.75 | 80% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| Levski Sofia +0.5 | 76% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
| AEK Athens FC +1.5 | 73% | – | 1.10 |
| Levski Sofia +0.25 | 70% | 54% | @ 1.76 |
| AEK Athens FC +1.25 | 67% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Levski Sofia 0 | 63% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| AEK Athens FC +1 | 61% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Levski Sofia -0.25 | 57% | 37% | @ 2.56 |
| AEK Athens FC +0.75 | 55% | 75% | 1.26 |
| AEK Athens FC +0.5 | 49% | – | 1.40 |
| Levski Sofia -0.75 | 45% | 25% | @ 3.81 |
| AEK Athens FC +0.25 | 43% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Levski Sofia -1 | 39% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| AEK Athens FC 0 | 37% | 55% | 1.71 |
| Levski Sofia -1.25 | 33% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| AEK Athens FC -0.25 | 31% | 46% | 2.09 |
| AEK Athens FC -0.5 | 24% | 39% | 2.42 |
| AEK Athens FC -0.75 | 20% | 33% | 2.91 |
| AEK Athens FC -1.5 | 9% | 21% | 4.47 |
| AEK Athens FC -1.75 | 7% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
Our model's main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.41, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.4 scoreline for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.99 for Levski Sofia and 0.41 for AEK Athens FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Levski Sofia and AEK Athens FC play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 18 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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