vs
⚽ UEFA Champions League
Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 18 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Levski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FC
Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.41, landed.
Levski Sofia face AEK Athens FC in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 18 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 2.0-0.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 18.0% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.41, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a Levski Sofia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (71%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Levski Sofia to win by 0+ goals at odds 2.56 (+46.0% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Levski Sofia come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 0. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Septemvri Sofia.
- DLevski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
- WKairat Almaty 0-1 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- WLevski Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- WLevski Sofia 1-0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Champions League
- WLevski Sofia 3-0 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
AEK Athens FC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to St. Truiden. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Samsunspor.
- DLevski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
- DAEK Athens FC 2-2 OFISuper Cup
- WAEK Athens FC 3-0 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs
- LAEK Athens FC 1-2 SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs
- WPEC Zwolle 2-3 AEK Athens FCFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Levski Sofia at 49% to win and AEK Athens FC at 23%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia Win | 49% | @ 2.91 | +44.1% |
| Draw | 28% | @ 3.08 | -14.8% |
| AEK Athens FC Win | 23% | @ 2.47 | -43.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levski Sofia or Draw at 1.49 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia or Draw | 76% | @ 1.49 | +12.9% |
| AEK Athens FC or Draw | 49% | @ 1.39 | -31.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 69% | @ 1.38 | -4.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 78% | @ 1.23 | -4.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | @ 2.18 | -6.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | @ 1.65 | -6.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 31% | @ 2.90 | -10.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 71%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 71% | @ 1.85 | +31.6% |
| BTTS Yes | 29% | @ 1.85 | -46.6% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Levski Sofia or AEK Athens FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia -1 | 39% | @ 5.75 | +123.4% |
| Levski Sofia -1.25 | 33% | @ 6.00 | +97.2% |
| Levski Sofia -0.75 | 45% | @ 3.81 | +70.9% |
| Levski Sofia -0.25 | 57% | @ 2.56 | +46.0% |
| Levski Sofia 0 | 63% | @ 2.12 | +33.9% |
| Levski Sofia +0.25 | 70% | @ 1.76 | +22.2% |
| Levski Sofia +0.5 | 76% | @ 1.54 | +16.5% |
| Levski Sofia +0.75 | 80% | @ 1.41 | +11.7% |
| Levski Sofia +1.5 | 91% | @ 1.17 | +6.5% |
| Levski Sofia +1.25 | 87% | @ 1.20 | +4.6% |
| Levski Sofia +1.75 | 93% | @ 1.12 | +3.7% |
| Levski Sofia +1 | 83% | @ 1.24 | +3.3% |
| AEK Athens FC +1.5 | 73% | 1.10 | -19.5% |
| AEK Athens FC +1.25 | 67% | 1.12 | -24.8% |
| AEK Athens FC +1 | 61% | 1.15 | -30.0% |
| AEK Athens FC +0.75 | 55% | 1.26 | -30.5% |
| AEK Athens FC +0.5 | 49% | 1.40 | -31.3% |
| AEK Athens FC +0.25 | 43% | 1.50 | -35.4% |
| AEK Athens FC -0.25 | 31% | 2.09 | -36.2% |
| AEK Athens FC 0 | 37% | 1.71 | -37.0% |
| AEK Athens FC -0.75 | 20% | 2.91 | -40.3% |
| AEK Athens FC -0.5 | 24% | 2.42 | -41.0% |
| AEK Athens FC -1.75 | 7% | 6.40 | -52.8% |
| AEK Athens FC -1.5 | 9% | 4.47 | -59.9% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
Our main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.41, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Levski Sofia to win by 0+ goals at 2.56 (+46.0% value).
Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.4 scoreline for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.99 for Levski Sofia and 0.41 for AEK Athens FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Levski Sofia and AEK Athens FC play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 18 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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