⚽ Premier League
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.
Result: Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Liverpool face Nottingham Forest in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Liverpool have 1 win from their last 5, while Nottingham Forest have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 1, Nottingham Forest won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 2.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Liverpool win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Liverpool and Nottingham Forest. Wins shown from Liverpool’s perspective: Liverpool 1 · 2 drawn · Nottingham Forest 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Liverpool | 2 – 2 | Nottingham Forest | D |
| 2026-02-22 | Nottingham Forest | 0 – 1 | Liverpool | W |
| 2025-11-22 | Liverpool | 0 – 3 | Nottingham Forest | L |
| 2025-01-14 | Nottingham Forest | 1 – 1 | Liverpool | D |
| 2024-09-14 | Liverpool | 0 – 1 | Nottingham Forest | L |
📈 Recent form
Liverpool come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Tottenham.
- WBournemouth 0-1 LiverpoolPremier League
- WLiverpool 3-1 TottenhamLeague Cup
- DLiverpool 0-0 FulhamPremier League
- WLiverpool 2-1 Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League
- WIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
Nottingham Forest come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Aston Villa. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Coventry.
- LNottingham Forest 0-1 CoventryPremier League
- WAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- DNottingham Forest 0-0 TottenhamPremier League
- DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- LNottingham Forest 0-2 LeedsLeague Cup
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- S. BajceticHamstring Injury
- C. BradleyKnee Injury
- F. ChiesaBack Injury
- H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
- H. ElliottCoach's decision
- J. GomezMuscle Injury
- G. LeoniKnee Injury
- I. SangareCalf Injury
- N. SavonaKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Liverpool at 54% to win and Nottingham Forest at 23%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Win | 54% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Draw | 23% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Nottingham Forest Win | 23% | 15% | @ 6.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Liverpool or Draw at 1.11 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool or Draw | 78% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Nottingham Forest or Draw | 47% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 42% | @ 2.28 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 20% | @ 4.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 54% | @ 1.71 |
| BTTS No | 38% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.
Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.97 for Liverpool and 1.26 for Nottingham Forest. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Liverpool and Nottingham Forest play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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