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⚽ Premier League
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.
Liverpool face Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Liverpool have 1 win from their last 5, while Nottingham Forest have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 2, Nottingham Forest won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 2.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.63, the selection our model is most confident in at 63%. On the match result, the model rates a Liverpool win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Liverpool and Nottingham Forest. Wins shown from Liverpool’s perspective: Liverpool 2 · 1 drawn · Nottingham Forest 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Nottingham Forest | 0 – 1 | Liverpool | W |
| 2025-11-22 | Liverpool | 0 – 3 | Nottingham Forest | L |
| 2025-01-14 | Nottingham Forest | 1 – 1 | Liverpool | D |
| 2024-09-14 | Liverpool | 0 – 1 | Nottingham Forest | L |
| 2024-03-02 | Nottingham Forest | 0 – 1 | Liverpool | W |
📈 Recent form
Liverpool come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Como. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Monaco.
- WLiverpool 2-0 ComoFriendlies Clubs
- LLiverpool 2-3 MonacoFriendlies Clubs
- LLiverpool 2-4 LeedsPremier League – Summe
- WLiverpool 1-0 WrexhamPremier League – Summe
- WLiverpool 4-2 SunderlandPremier League – Summe
Nottingham Forest come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Stade Brestois 29. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Leeds.
- LNottingham Forest 0-1 LeedsPremier League
- WNottingham Forest 2-0 Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs
- WNottingham Forest 2-1 Bayer LeverkusenFriendlies Clubs
- LBarcelona 1-0 Nottingham ForestFriendlies Clubs
- LUdinese 1-0 Nottingham ForestFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Liverpool at 54% to win and Nottingham Forest at 23%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest Win | 23% | @ 6.10 | +39.5% |
| Draw | 23% | @ 4.74 | +10.7% |
| Liverpool Win | 54% | @ 1.51 | -18.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 40% | @ 2.57 | +3.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | @ 1.63 | +2.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | @ 1.55 | -7.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | @ 2.37 | -11.4% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.63, with 63% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.97 for Liverpool and 1.26 for Nottingham Forest. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Liverpool and Nottingham Forest play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
