Thu 15 Oct16:45Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Lyon vs Crystal Palace Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lyon vs Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lyon face Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 41%, implying a 1.6-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lyon vs Crystal Palace with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Lyon win	41%
Draw	26%
Crystal Palace win	33%
Over 2.5 goals	57%
Both teams to score	59%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.55 – 1.40 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	7.3%	5.1%	2.4%	0.8%
1	8.1%	11.4%	8.0%	3.7%	1.3%
2	6.3%	8.8%	6.2%	2.9%	1.0%
3	3.2%	4.5%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.3%	1.8%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Lyon winDrawCrystal Palace win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Lyon vs Crystal Palace. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lyon win is the most likely result at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 57%. Both teams to score: yes at 59%.

📊 Key numbers

Lyon 41%Draw 26%Crystal Palace 33%

41%26%33%

41%

Lyon Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Lyon

Lyon come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Rennes. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Lens.

LLens 2-1 LyonLigue 1
WLyon 4-0 RennesLigue 1
WAnderlecht 1-2 LyonUEFA Europa League
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1
WLyon 3-1 AuxerreLigue 1

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lech Poznan. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Bristol City.

WCrystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham ForestPremier League
LCrystal Palace 0-2 Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs
DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
WCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League
LCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lyon

R. HimbertNot in squad
M. NiakhateMuscle Injury
M. OuedraogoKnee Injury
L. OpendaInjury

Crystal Palace

C. DoucoureOff the roster
Z. GozoOff the roster
E. GuessandOff the roster
D. HendersonFoot Injury
J. LermaOff the roster
J. MatetaHamstring Injury
C. RiadKnee Injury
T. TomiyasuCalf Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lyon at 41% to win and Crystal Palace at 33%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Lyon win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Lyon Win	41%	@ 2.25
Crystal Palace Win	33%	@ 2.80
Draw	26%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lyon or Draw at 1.40 (67% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Lyon or Draw	67%	@ 1.40
Crystal Palace or Draw	59%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Lyon 44%Draw 26%Crystal Palace 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lyon win is the most likely result at 41%.

Who is the favourite for Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline for Lyon vs Crystal Palace.

What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Lyon and 1.40 for Crystal Palace. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lyon and Crystal Palace play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.