Tue 11 Aug3-0Finished

Sparta Praha

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Lyon vs Sparta Praha Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lyon vs Sparta Praha in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Lyon 3-0 Sparta Praha

Lyon vs Sparta Praha finished 3-0. Lyon won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Lyon face Sparta Praha in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Lyon won 1, Sparta Praha won 1. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lyon vs Sparta Praha with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Sparta Praha +2 @ 1.38

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.81 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.5%	5.8%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
1	8.1%	10.5%	6.8%	3.0%	1.0%
2	7.3%	9.5%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.4%	5.7%	3.7%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.0%	2.6%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Lyon winDrawSparta Praha win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lyon vs Sparta Praha comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sparta Praha with a +2 start at odds 1.38, with a 84% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

60%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Lyon and Sparta Praha. Wins shown from Lyon’s perspective: Lyon 1 · Sparta Praha 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-11	Lyon	3 – 0	Sparta Praha	W
2026-08-04	Sparta Praha	2 – 1	Lyon	L

📈 Recent form

Lyon

Lyon come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Rennes.

WLyon 4-0 RennesLigue 1
WAnderlecht 1-2 LyonUEFA Europa League
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1
WLyon 3-1 AuxerreLigue 1
DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1

Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Viktoria Žižkov. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Hradec Králové.

WSigma Olomouc 0-3 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
WArarat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League
WSparta Praha 2-0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
WViktoria Žižkov 0-5 Sparta PrahaCup
LHradec Králové 2-1 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lyon or Draw at 1.07 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lyon or Draw	69%	88%	@ 1.07
Sparta Praha or Draw	56%	32%	@ 3.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	81%	@ 1.15
Under 3.5	62%	61%	@ 1.54
Over 2.5	60%	60%	@ 1.56
Under 2.5	40%	40%	@ 2.35
Over 3.5	38%	39%	@ 2.40
Under 1.5	18%	19%	@ 4.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	52%	@ 1.78
BTTS No	39%	48%	@ 1.90

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lyon or Sparta Praha is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sparta Praha +2	84%	68%	1.38
Sparta Praha +1.75	81%	61%	1.54
Sparta Praha +1.5	78%	54%	1.73
Lyon +0.75	73%	86%	1.10
Sparta Praha +1.25	72%	49%	1.95
Lyon +0.5	69%	–	1.09
Sparta Praha +1	67%	42%	2.26
Lyon +0.25	63%	84%	1.12
Sparta Praha +0.75	61%	36%	2.64
Lyon 0	56%	–	1.17
Sparta Praha +0.5	56%	32%	2.94
Lyon -0.25	50%	74%	1.27
Sparta Praha +0.25	50%	26%	3.68
Lyon -0.5	44%	68%	1.37
Lyon -0.75	39%	64%	1.48
Sparta Praha -0.25	37%	16%	6.00
Lyon -1	33%	58%	1.62
Lyon -1.25	28%	51%	1.86
Sparta Praha -0.75	27%	14%	7.00
Lyon -1.5	22%	46%	2.05
Lyon -1.75	19%	39%	2.42
Lyon -2	16%	32%	2.99

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lyon vs Sparta Praha?

Our model's main pick is Sparta Praha with a +2 start at odds 1.38, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Sparta Praha?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.81 for Lyon and 1.30 for Sparta Praha. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lyon and Sparta Praha play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.