Sat 22 Aug2-2Finished

⚽ Primeira Liga

Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Result: Marítimo 2-2 Académico de Viseu

Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Marítimo face Académico de Viseu in the upcoming Primeira Liga tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Académico de Viseu +1.5 @ 1.25
84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.56 – 1.25 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.0% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6%
1 9.4% 11.7% 7.3% 3.1% 1.0%
2 7.3% 9.2% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7%
3 3.8% 4.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Marítimo winDrawAcadémico de Viseu win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Académico de Viseu with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Marítimo 17%Draw 66%Académico de Viseu 18%
17%66%18%
66%
Draw
53%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Marítimo

Marítimo come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Moreirense.

  • DGil Vicente 1-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
  • LMoreirense 3-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
  • LMarítimo 0-3 BenficaPrimeira Liga
  • LArouca 2-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
  • DMarítimo 2-2 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
Académico de Viseu

Académico de Viseu come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Estrela da Amadora. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to FC Porto.

  • WEstrela da Amadora 0-2 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
  • WAcadémico de Viseu 2-1 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
  • WGil Vicente 0-1 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
  • LAcadémico de Viseu 0-3 FC PortoPrimeira Liga
  • DMarítimo 2-2 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Marítimo at 17% to win and Académico de Viseu at 18%, with the draw at 66%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Draw 66% 28% @ 3.35
Académico de Viseu Win 18% 24% @ 4.00
Marítimo Win 17% 48% @ 1.97

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Académico de Viseu or Draw at 1.76 (64% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Académico de Viseu or Draw 64% 52% @ 1.76
Marítimo or Draw 63% 76% @ 1.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% 68% @ 1.36
Under 3.5 69% 76% @ 1.21
Over 2.5 53% 43% @ 2.12
Under 2.5 47% 57% @ 1.61
Over 3.5 31% 24% @ 3.80
Under 1.5 23% 32% @ 2.85

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 56% 48% @ 1.91
BTTS No 44% 52% @ 1.76

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Marítimo or Académico de Viseu is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Académico de Viseu +1.75 87% 82% @ 1.16
Académico de Viseu +1.5 84% 76% @ 1.25
Académico de Viseu +1.25 79% 73% @ 1.30
Académico de Viseu +1 74% 69% @ 1.38
Académico de Viseu +0.75 69% 60% @ 1.58
Marítimo +0.75 68% 81% 1.18
Académico de Viseu +0.5 64% 53% @ 1.80
Marítimo +0.5 63% 74% 1.27
Académico de Viseu +0.25 57% 46% @ 2.09
Marítimo +0.25 56% 71% 1.34
Académico de Viseu 0 50% 35% @ 2.70
Marítimo 0 50% 65% 1.46
Académico de Viseu -0.25 44% 29% @ 3.27
Marítimo -0.25 43% 54% 1.76
Académico de Viseu -0.5 37% 26% @ 3.71
Marítimo -0.5 36% 47% 1.99
Académico de Viseu -0.75 32% 19% @ 5.00
Marítimo -0.75 31% 40% 2.41
Marítimo -1 26% 31% 3.11
Marítimo -1.25 21% 27% 3.58
Marítimo -1.5 16% 24% 3.93
Marítimo -1.75 13% 18% 5.25

📈 How the market moved

20%36%52%08/1808/1908/2008/2108/22

Marítimo 47%Draw 28%Académico de Viseu 25%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu?

Our model's main pick is Académico de Viseu with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu.

What is the predicted score for Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Marítimo and 1.25 for Académico de Viseu. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Marítimo and Académico de Viseu play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.