⚽ UEFA Champions League
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/Glimt
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt finished 1-3. Bodo/Glimt won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
NEC Nijmegen face Bodo/Glimt in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Bodo/Glimt with a +1 start at odds 1.26, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt. Wins shown from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective: Bodo/Glimt 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 – 0 | NEC Nijmegen | L |
| 2026-08-19 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 – 3 | Bodo/Glimt | L |
📈 Recent form
NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at PEC Zwolle. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Juventus.
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
- LCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
- WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
Bodo/Glimt come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Brann.
- LBrann 2-1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- LBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
- WFredrikstad 1-2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- WBodo/Glimt 4-2 RosenborgEliteserien
- WBodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. OgawaHead Injury
- S. OuaissaMuscle Injury
- P. SandlerInjury
- P. SchuursKnee Injury
- H. EvjenKnee Injury
- J. GundersenThigh Injury
- A. MikkelsenGroin Injury
- I. SjongInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices NEC Nijmegen at 20% to win and Bodo/Glimt at 46%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt Win | 46% | 37% | @ 2.50 |
| Draw | 33% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| NEC Nijmegen Win | 20% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.49 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt or Draw | 76% | 63% | @ 1.49 |
| NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 49% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 86% | @ 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 69% | @ 1.35 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 51% | @ 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 14% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 70% | @ 1.30 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when NEC Nijmegen or Bodo/Glimt is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt +1.75 | 93% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1.5 | 91% | 80% | @ 1.17 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1.25 | 87% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1 | 83% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Bodo/Glimt +0.75 | 80% | 68% | @ 1.39 |
| NEC Nijmegen +1.75 | 77% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Bodo/Glimt +0.5 | 76% | 62% | @ 1.51 |
| NEC Nijmegen +1.5 | 73% | 78% | 1.19 |
| Bodo/Glimt +0.25 | 69% | 58% | @ 1.65 |
| NEC Nijmegen +1.25 | 67% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Bodo/Glimt 0 | 63% | 51% | @ 1.86 |
| NEC Nijmegen +1 | 61% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Bodo/Glimt -0.25 | 57% | 44% | @ 2.16 |
| NEC Nijmegen +0.75 | 55% | 67% | 1.41 |
| Bodo/Glimt -0.5 | 51% | 39% | @ 2.42 |
| NEC Nijmegen +0.5 | 49% | 61% | 1.53 |
| Bodo/Glimt -0.75 | 45% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| NEC Nijmegen +0.25 | 43% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Bodo/Glimt -1 | 39% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| NEC Nijmegen 0 | 37% | 49% | 1.93 |
| Bodo/Glimt -1.25 | 33% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| NEC Nijmegen -0.25 | 31% | 42% | 2.24 |
| Bodo/Glimt -1.5 | 27% | 22% | @ 4.22 |
| NEC Nijmegen -0.5 | 24% | 38% | 2.48 |
| Bodo/Glimt -1.75 | 23% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| NEC Nijmegen -0.75 | 20% | 32% | 2.96 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1 | 17% | 25% | 3.85 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1.25 | 13% | 24% | 3.96 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1.5 | 9% | 20% | 4.55 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1.75 | 7% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our model's main pick is Bodo/Glimt with a +1 start at odds 1.26, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.77 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.62 for Bodo/Glimt. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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