Tue 11 Aug1-1Finished

Olympiakos Piraeus

⚽ UEFA Champions League

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

NEC Nijmegen face Olympiakos Piraeus in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

NEC Nijmegen +0.75 @ 1.35

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.85 – 0.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	5.8%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
1	10.9%	10.7%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.1%	9.9%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.2%	6.1%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
4	2.9%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

NEC Nijmegen winDrawOlympiakos Piraeus win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is NEC Nijmegen with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 78% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus. Wins shown from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-11	NEC Nijmegen	1 – 1	Olympiakos Piraeus	D
2026-08-04	Olympiakos Piraeus	0 – 0	NEC Nijmegen	D

📈 Recent form

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at PEC Zwolle. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Juventus.

DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
LCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie

Olympiakos Piraeus

Olympiakos Piraeus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Larisa. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to OFI.

WLevadiakos 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
WOlympiakos Piraeus 2-1 JagielloniaUEFA Europa League
LOlympiakos Piraeus 0-1 OFISuper League 1
DVolos NFC 1-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
WLarisa 0-4 Olympiakos PiraeusCup

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is NEC Nijmegen or Draw at 1.49 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen or Draw	75%	63%	@ 1.49
Olympiakos Piraeus or Draw	50%	65%	@ 1.45

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	72%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	68%	73%	@ 1.27
Over 2.5	54%	47%	@ 1.97
Under 2.5	46%	53%	@ 1.76
Over 3.5	32%	27%	@ 3.50
Under 1.5	23%	28%	@ 3.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	53%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	47%	47%	@ 1.96

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when NEC Nijmegen or Olympiakos Piraeus is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen +1.75	92%	86%	1.10
NEC Nijmegen +1.5	90%	–	1.15
NEC Nijmegen +1.25	86%	79%	1.19
NEC Nijmegen +1	82%	78%	1.22
NEC Nijmegen +0.75	78%	70%	1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus +1.75	77%	86%	1.10
NEC Nijmegen +0.5	75%	62%	1.50
Olympiakos Piraeus +1.5	73%	–	1.13
NEC Nijmegen +0.25	68%	57%	1.66
Olympiakos Piraeus +1.25	67%	82%	1.16
NEC Nijmegen 0	62%	49%	1.93
Olympiakos Piraeus +1	61%	79%	1.19
NEC Nijmegen -0.25	56%	41%	2.33
Olympiakos Piraeus +0.75	55%	71%	1.32
NEC Nijmegen -0.5	50%	36%	2.62
Olympiakos Piraeus +0.5	50%	64%	1.45
NEC Nijmegen -0.75	45%	29%	3.31
Olympiakos Piraeus +0.25	44%	59%	1.59
NEC Nijmegen -1	39%	21%	4.58
Olympiakos Piraeus 0	38%	51%	1.85
NEC Nijmegen -1.25	33%	18%	5.25
Olympiakos Piraeus -0.25	31%	43%	2.21
Olympiakos Piraeus -0.5	25%	38%	2.49
NEC Nijmegen -1.75	23%	14%	7.00
Olympiakos Piraeus -0.75	22%	30%	3.12
Olympiakos Piraeus -1	18%	22%	4.25
Olympiakos Piraeus -1.25	14%	21%	4.50
Olympiakos Piraeus -1.75	8%	14%	6.80

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Our model's main pick is NEC Nijmegen with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.85 for NEC Nijmegen and 0.98 for Olympiakos Piraeus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.