Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland
Sun 4 Oct1-1Finished
IsraelIsrael

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Sunday 04 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Result: Rep. Of Ireland 1-1 Israel

Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Rep. Of Ireland face Israel in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Sunday 04 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Rep. Of Ireland won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Rep. Of Ireland win the most likely result at 44%, implying a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Rep. Of Ireland win 44%
Draw 28%
Israel win 28%
Over 2.5 goals 45%
Both teams to score 50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.40 – 1.05 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.6% 9.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4%
1 12.1% 12.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6%
2 8.5% 8.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4%
3 3.9% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Rep. Of Ireland winDrawIsrael win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Rep. Of Ireland win is the most likely result at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Rep. Of Ireland 44%Draw 28%Israel 28%
44%28%28%
44%
Rep. Of Ireland Win
55%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Rep. Of Ireland and Israel. Wins shown from Rep. Of Ireland’s perspective: Rep. Of Ireland 1 · 1 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-10-04 Rep. Of Ireland 1 – 1 Israel D
2026-09-27 Israel 0 – 3 Rep. Of Ireland W

📈 Recent form

Rep. Of Ireland

Rep. Of Ireland come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Israel. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Kosovo.

  • DRep. Of Ireland 1-1 IsraelUEFA Nations League
  • DRep. Of Ireland 2-2 AustriaUEFA Nations League
  • WIsrael 0-3 Rep. Of IrelandUEFA Nations League
  • LKosovo 1-0 Rep. Of IrelandUEFA Nations League
  • DCanada 1-1 Rep. Of IrelandFriendlies
Israel

Israel come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Albania. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Rep. Of Ireland.

  • DRep. Of Ireland 1-1 IsraelUEFA Nations League
  • DIsrael 0-0 KosovoUEFA Nations League
  • LIsrael 0-3 Rep. Of IrelandUEFA Nations League
  • LAustria 3-1 IsraelUEFA Nations League
  • WAlbania 0-1 IsraelFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rep. Of Ireland at 44% to win and Israel at 28%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Rep. Of Ireland win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Rep. Of Ireland Win 44% @ 2.15
Draw 29% @ 3.30
Israel Win 28% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rep. Of Ireland or Draw at 1.28 (72% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Rep. Of Ireland or Draw 72% @ 1.28
Israel or Draw 56% @ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 75% @ 1.25
Over 1.5 71% @ 1.33
Under 2.5 55% @ 1.73
Over 2.5 45% @ 2.08
Under 1.5 29% @ 3.25
Over 3.5 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 50% @ 1.83
BTTS No 50% @ 1.83

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Rep. Of Ireland win is the most likely result at 44%.

Who is the favourite for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?

Our model makes a Rep. Of Ireland win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel.

What is the predicted score for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Rep. Of Ireland and 1.05 for Israel. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rep. Of Ireland and Israel play?

Kick-off is Sunday 04 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.