Scotland

Tue 6 Oct1-2Finished

Slovenia

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Scotland vs Slovenia Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Scotland vs Slovenia in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Scotland 1-2 Slovenia

Scotland vs Slovenia finished 1-2. Slovenia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Scotland face Slovenia in the upcoming UEFA Nations League tips, kicking off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Slovenia won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Scotland win the most likely result at 54%, implying a 1.6-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Scotland vs Slovenia with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Scotland win	54%
Draw	27%
Slovenia win	20%
Over 2.5 goals	42%
Both teams to score	44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.55 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	7.7%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
1	14.1%	12.0%	5.1%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.9%	9.3%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.6%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.2%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Scotland winDrawSlovenia win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Scotland vs Slovenia. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Scotland win is the most likely result at 54%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams to score: no at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Scotland 54%Draw 27%Slovenia 20%

54%27%20%

54%

Scotland Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Scotland and Slovenia. Wins shown from Scotland’s perspective: 1 drawn · Slovenia 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-06	Scotland	1 – 2	Slovenia	L
2026-09-26	Slovenia	0 – 0	Scotland	D

📈 Recent form

Scotland

Scotland come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Bolivia. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Slovenia.

LScotland 1-2 SloveniaUEFA Nations League
WNorth Macedonia 0-2 ScotlandUEFA Nations League
LScotland 0-3 SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League
DSlovenia 0-0 ScotlandUEFA Nations League
WBolivia 0-4 ScotlandFriendlies

Slovenia

Slovenia come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to North Macedonia. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Switzerland.

WScotland 1-2 SloveniaUEFA Nations League
LSwitzerland 2-1 SloveniaUEFA Nations League
WSlovenia 2-0 North MacedoniaUEFA Nations League
DSlovenia 0-0 ScotlandUEFA Nations League
LCroatia 2-1 SloveniaFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Scotland at 54% to win and Slovenia at 20%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Scotland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Scotland Win	54%	@ 1.75
Draw	27%	@ 3.50
Slovenia Win	20%	@ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Scotland or Draw at 1.18 (80% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Scotland or Draw	80%	@ 1.18
Slovenia or Draw	46%	@ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.20
Over 1.5	66%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	58%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	42%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	34%	@ 2.75
Over 3.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS Yes	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Scotland 54%Draw 26%Slovenia 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scotland vs Slovenia?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Scotland win is the most likely result at 54%.

Who is the favourite for Scotland vs Slovenia?

Our model makes a Scotland win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline for Scotland vs Slovenia.

What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Slovenia?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Scotland and 0.85 for Slovenia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Scotland and Slovenia play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.