Shakhtar Donetsk

Mon 14 Sep2-0Finished

Chornomorets

⚽ Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets in the Premier League. Kick-off Monday 14 September 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 Chornomorets

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets finished 2-0. Shakhtar Donetsk won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.57, landed.

Shakhtar Donetsk face Chornomorets in the Premier League, kicking off Monday 14 September 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Shakhtar Donetsk have 4 wins from their last 5, while Chornomorets have 1 win from their last 4. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Chornomorets +2 @ 2.06

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.86 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	5.7%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
1	11.2%	10.6%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.4%	9.9%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	6.5%	6.1%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.0%	2.9%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawChornomorets win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Chornomorets with a +2 start at odds 2.06, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

53%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to LNZ Cherkasy. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Polessya.

WShakhtar Donetsk 3-0 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
WShakhtar Donetsk 2-0 ChornomoretsPremier League
DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
WKarpaty 1-2 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
LShakhtar Donetsk 0-2 PolessyaPremier League

Chornomorets

Chornomorets come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Kryvbas KR. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Shakhtar Donetsk.

DChornomorets 1-1 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
LShakhtar Donetsk 2-0 ChornomoretsPremier League
DChornomorets 0-0 Livyi BerehPremier League
WChornomorets 1-0 Kryvbas KRPremier League
LLNZ Cherkasy 2-0 ChornomoretsPremier League

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Chornomorets or Draw at 6.00 (41% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Chornomorets or Draw	41%	17%	@ 6.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	79%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	69%	59%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	53%	61%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	47%	39%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	31%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	23%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	34%	@ 2.75
BTTS No	48%	66%	@ 1.40

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Shakhtar Donetsk or Chornomorets is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Chornomorets +2	75%	46%	2.06
Chornomorets +1.75	71%	40%	2.35
Chornomorets +1.5	66%	36%	2.62
Chornomorets +1.25	60%	29%	3.30
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.5	59%	83%	1.14
Chornomorets +1	54%	21%	4.50
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.75	52%	82%	1.16
Chornomorets +0.75	48%	18%	5.25
Shakhtar Donetsk -1	46%	79%	1.19
Chornomorets +0.5	41%	17%	5.75
Shakhtar Donetsk -1.25	40%	71%	1.32
Shakhtar Donetsk -1.5	34%	64%	1.47
Shakhtar Donetsk -1.75	29%	60%	1.57
Shakhtar Donetsk -2	25%	54%	1.75

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?

Our model's main pick is Chornomorets with a +2 start at odds 2.06, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 46%.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.95 for Chornomorets. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Shakhtar Donetsk and Chornomorets play?

Kick-off is Monday 14 September 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.