Sat 10 Oct14:00Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sheffield Utd face Lincoln in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Sheffield Utd have 2 wins from their last 5, while Lincoln have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 0.9-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

88%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.91 – 0.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.1%	14.8%	7.3%	2.4%	0.6%
1	13.7%	13.5%	6.6%	2.2%	0.5%
2	6.3%	6.1%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
3	1.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-0

Sheffield Utd winDrawLincoln win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 88% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sheffield Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points no (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Sheffield Utd 44%Draw 32%Lincoln 25%

44%32%25%

44%

Sheffield Utd Win

71%

Under 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Stoke City.

LStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LFleetwood Town 1-0 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
LSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
WBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LSheffield Utd 1-3 NorwichChampionship

Lincoln

Lincoln come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Bristol City. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Swansea.

LLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
WBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
WPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
LBournemouth 4-0 LincolnLeague Cup
DLincoln 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Sheffield Utd

H. BurrowsMuscle Injury
R. OneHamstring Injury
F. SerikiKnee Injury

Lincoln

T. DarikwaKnee Injury
M. MeliaThigh Injury
T. HamerHealth problems

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sheffield Utd at 44% to win and Lincoln at 25%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd Win	44%	47%	@ 1.95
Draw	32%	27%	@ 3.40
Lincoln Win	25%	26%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheffield Utd or Draw at 1.28 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd or Draw	72%	74%	@ 1.28
Lincoln or Draw	54%	53%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	88%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	71%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 1.5	56%	73%	@ 1.30
Under 1.5	44%	27%	@ 3.50
Over 2.5	29%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	12%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	62%	49%	@ 1.91
BTTS Yes	38%	51%	@ 1.80

📈 How the market moved

Sheffield Utd 45%Draw 28%Lincoln 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?

Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.0 scoreline for Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.91 for Sheffield Utd and 0.98 for Lincoln. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sheffield Utd and Lincoln play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.