Slovenia

Tue 29 Sep18:45Upcoming

FYR Macedonia

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Tuesday 29 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Slovenia face FYR Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Tuesday 29 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Slovenia win the most likely result at 55%, implying a 1.6-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Slovenia win	55%
Draw	25%
FYR Macedonia win	19%
Over 2.5 goals	44%
Both teams to score	44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.60 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	7.3%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
1	13.8%	11.7%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.0%	9.4%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.9%	5.0%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.4%	2.0%	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Slovenia winDrawFYR Macedonia win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Slovenia win is the most likely result at 55%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: no at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Slovenia 55%Draw 25%FYR Macedonia 19%

55%25%19%

55%

Slovenia Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Slovenia

Slovenia come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Montenegro. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Croatia.

LCroatia 2-1 SloveniaFriendlies
DSlovenia 1-1 CyprusFriendlies
WMontenegro 2-3 SloveniaFriendlies
LHungary 1-0 SloveniaFriendlies

FYR Macedonia

FYR Macedonia come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 4, scoring 0 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Türkiye.

LTürkiye 4-0 FYR MacedoniaFriendlies
DBosnia & Herzegovina 0-0 FYR MacedoniaFriendlies
DRep. Of Ireland 0-0 FYR MacedoniaFriendlies
LDenmark 4-0 FYR MacedoniaWorld Cup – Qualificat

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Slovenia at 55% to win and FYR Macedonia at 19%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Slovenia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Slovenia Win	55%	@ 1.65
Draw	25%	@ 3.60
FYR Macedonia Win	19%	@ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Slovenia or Draw at 1.18 (81% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Slovenia or Draw	81%	@ 1.18
FYR Macedonia or Draw	45%	@ 2.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	@ 1.22
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	44%	@ 2.15
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS Yes	44%	@ 2.10

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Slovenia win is the most likely result at 55%.

Who is the favourite for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?

Our model makes a Slovenia win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia.

What is the predicted score for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Slovenia and 0.85 for FYR Macedonia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Slovenia and FYR Macedonia play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 29 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.