⚽ Premier League
Sunderland vs Fulham Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sunderland vs Fulham in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Result: Sunderland 1-0 Fulham
Sunderland vs Fulham finished 1-0. Sunderland won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Sunderland face Fulham in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Sunderland have 2 wins from their last 5, while Fulham have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Sunderland won 1, Fulham won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sunderland vs Fulham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sunderland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Sunderland and Fulham. Wins shown from Sunderland’s perspective: Sunderland 1 · Fulham 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Sunderland | 1 – 0 | Fulham | W |
| 2026-02-22 | Sunderland | 1 – 3 | Fulham | L |
| 2025-11-22 | Fulham | 1 – 0 | Sunderland | L |
📈 Recent form
Sunderland come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to AZ Alkmaar. Their most recent defeat was 3-5 at Manchester City.
- LManchester City 5-3 SunderlandPremier League
- WSunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
- LSunderland 0-2 ArsenalPremier League
- WSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup
- DBrentford 1-1 SunderlandPremier League
Fulham come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at West Ham. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Crystal Palace.
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- WWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
- DLiverpool 0-0 FulhamPremier League
- LFulham 2-3 Crystal PalacePremier League
- LSunderland 1-0 FulhamPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- S. AdingraFoot Injury
- D. MethalieSuspended (cards)
- T. CairneyKnee Injury
- L. De FougerollesInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sunderland at 38% to win and Fulham at 29%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland Win | 38% | 39% | @ 2.43 |
| Draw | 34% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Fulham Win | 29% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sunderland or Draw at 1.37 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland or Draw | 68% | 68% | @ 1.37 |
| Fulham or Draw | 59% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 76% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 54% | @ 1.74 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | @ 2.07 |
| Under 1.5 | 29% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 53% | @ 1.76 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 47% | @ 1.97 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sunderland or Fulham is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland +1.5 | 86% | – | 1.10 |
| Fulham +1.75 | 84% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Sunderland +1.25 | 82% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Fulham +1.5 | 81% | 80% | 1.17 |
| Sunderland +1 | 77% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Fulham +1.25 | 75% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Sunderland +0.75 | 72% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Fulham +1 | 70% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Sunderland +0.5 | 68% | 68% | 1.39 |
| Fulham +0.75 | 64% | 67% | 1.42 |
| Sunderland +0.25 | 61% | 63% | 1.52 |
| Fulham +0.5 | 59% | 60% | 1.56 |
| Sunderland 0 | 54% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Fulham +0.25 | 52% | 54% | 1.79 |
| Sunderland -0.25 | 48% | 46% | @ 2.12 |
| Fulham 0 | 46% | 45% | 2.13 |
| Sunderland -0.5 | 41% | 40% | 2.38 |
| Fulham -0.25 | 39% | 37% | 2.55 |
| Sunderland -0.75 | 36% | 33% | @ 2.94 |
| Fulham -0.5 | 32% | 32% | 2.95 |
| Sunderland -1 | 30% | 24% | @ 4.04 |
| Fulham -0.75 | 28% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Sunderland -1.25 | 25% | 21% | @ 4.55 |
| Fulham -1 | 23% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Sunderland -1.5 | 19% | 20% | 4.75 |
| Fulham -1.25 | 18% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Sunderland -1.75 | 16% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Fulham?
Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline for Sunderland vs Fulham.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Fulham?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.34 for Sunderland and 1.16 for Fulham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sunderland and Fulham play?
Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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