Switzerland

Sat 3 Oct18:45Upcoming

Slovenia

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Switzerland vs Slovenia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Switzerland vs Slovenia in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Saturday 03 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Switzerland face Slovenia in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Saturday 03 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Switzerland win the most likely result at 74%, implying a 2.1-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Switzerland vs Slovenia with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Switzerland win	74%
Draw	18%
Slovenia win	9%
Over 2.5 goals	51%
Both teams to score	38%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.15 – 0.60 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	3.8%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
1	13.7%	8.2%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
2	14.8%	8.9%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%
3	10.6%	6.4%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	5.7%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 2-0

Switzerland winDrawSlovenia win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Switzerland vs Slovenia. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Switzerland win is the most likely result at 74%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: no at 62%.

📊 Key numbers

Switzerland 74%Draw 18%Slovenia 9%

74%18%

74%

Switzerland Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Switzerland

Switzerland come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Scotland. Their only defeat in that run was 3-4 at home to Germany.

WScotland 0-3 SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League
WNorth Macedonia 0-3 SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League
WSwitzerland 4-1 JordanFriendlies
DNorway 0-0 SwitzerlandFriendlies
LSwitzerland 3-4 GermanyFriendlies

Slovenia

Slovenia come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to North Macedonia. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Croatia.

WSlovenia 2-0 North MacedoniaUEFA Nations League
DSlovenia 0-0 ScotlandUEFA Nations League
LCroatia 2-1 SloveniaFriendlies
DSlovenia 1-1 CyprusFriendlies
WMontenegro 2-3 SloveniaFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Switzerland at 74% to win and Slovenia at 9%, with the draw at 18%. The bookmaker market makes a Switzerland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Switzerland Win	74%	@ 1.28
Draw	18%	@ 5.25
Slovenia Win	9%	@ 11.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Switzerland or Draw at 1.05 (91% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Switzerland or Draw	91%	@ 1.05
Slovenia or Draw	26%	@ 3.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.1-0.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	51%	@ 1.85
Under 2.5	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 62%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS Yes	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Switzerland vs Slovenia?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Switzerland win is the most likely result at 74%.

Who is the favourite for Switzerland vs Slovenia?

Our model makes a Switzerland win the most likely result at 74%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.6 scoreline for Switzerland vs Slovenia.

What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Slovenia?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.15 for Switzerland and 0.60 for Slovenia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Switzerland and Slovenia play?

Kick-off is Saturday 03 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.