Thu 15 Oct19:00Upcoming
FC ThunFC Thun

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Twente vs FC Thun Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Twente vs FC Thun in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Twente face FC Thun in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Twente win the most likely result at 77%, implying a 2.8-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Twente vs FC Thun with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Twente win 77%
Draw 13%
FC Thun win 10%
Over 2.5 goals 72%
Both teams to score 52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.80 – 0.90 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.9% 6.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 9.7% 8.7% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3%
3 9.0% 8.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2%
4 6.3% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Projected score: 2-0
Twente winDrawFC Thun win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Twente vs FC Thun. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Twente win is the most likely result at 77%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 72%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Twente 77%Draw 13%FC Thun 10%
77%13%10%
77%
Twente Win
72%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Twente

Twente come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to ADO Den Haag. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DFortuna Sittard 1-1 TwenteEredivisie
  • WTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
  • WTwente 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
  • WTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
  • DGroningen 2-2 TwenteEredivisie
FC Thun

FC Thun come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to SC Kriens. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at FC Zurich.

  • LFC Zurich 4-2 FC ThunSuper League
  • WFC Thun 2-0 SC KriensFriendlies Clubs
  • WFC Vaduz 1-2 FC ThunSuper League
  • LFC Thun 0-1 GrasshoppersSuper League
  • LFC Sion 3-2 FC ThunSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Twente at 77% to win and FC Thun at 10%, with the draw at 13%. The bookmaker market makes a Twente win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Twente Win 77% @ 1.20
Draw 13% @ 7.00
FC Thun Win 10% @ 9.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Twente or Draw at 1.07 (90% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Twente or Draw 90% @ 1.07
FC Thun or Draw 23% @ 4.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.8-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 86% @ 1.10
Over 2.5 72% @ 1.33
Over 3.5 50% @ 1.83
Under 3.5 50% @ 1.83
Under 2.5 28% @ 3.40
Under 1.5 14% @ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 51% @ 1.80
BTTS No 49% @ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

5%43%81%10/1010/1110/1210/13

Twente 77%Draw 13%FC Thun 9%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Twente vs FC Thun?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Twente win is the most likely result at 77%.

Who is the favourite for Twente vs FC Thun?

Our model makes a Twente win the most likely result at 77%. It projects an expected 2.8-0.9 scoreline for Twente vs FC Thun.

What is the predicted score for Twente vs FC Thun?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.80 for Twente and 0.90 for FC Thun. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Twente and FC Thun play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.