⚽ UEFA Champions League
Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 04 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Union St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/Glimt
Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Bodo/Glimt Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at 1.31, landed.
Union St. Gilloise face Bodo/Glimt in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 04 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 0.9-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Bodo/Glimt Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.31, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Union St. Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt. Wins shown from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective: 3 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/Glimt | 2 – 2 | Union St. Gilloise | D |
| 2026-08-04 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 – 3 | Bodo/Glimt | D |
| 2024-10-03 | Union St. Gilloise | 0 – 0 | Bodo/Glimt | D |
📈 Recent form
Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Lommel United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- WPlzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League
- WUnion St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
- WCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- WSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
Bodo/Glimt come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Brann.
- LBrann 2-1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- LBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
- WFredrikstad 1-2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- WBodo/Glimt 4-2 RosenborgEliteserien
- WBodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Union St. Gilloise at 18% to win and Bodo/Glimt at 60%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt Win | 60% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| Draw | 22% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Union St. Gilloise Win | 18% | 44% | @ 2.14 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Union St. Gilloise or Draw at 1.30 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise or Draw | 66% | 70% | @ 1.30 |
| Bodo/Glimt or Draw | 60% | 56% | @ 1.62 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 78% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 58% | @ 1.58 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 62% | @ 1.47 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 38% | @ 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 42% | @ 2.18 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 61% | @ 1.49 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Union St. Gilloise or Bodo/Glimt is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt +2 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Union St. Gilloise +1.5 | 85% | 84% | 1.11 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1.75 | 84% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1.5 | 80% | 75% | 1.24 |
| Union St. Gilloise +1.25 | 80% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Union St. Gilloise +1 | 75% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1.25 | 75% | 72% | 1.31 |
| Union St. Gilloise +0.75 | 70% | 74% | 1.26 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1 | 70% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Union St. Gilloise +0.5 | 66% | 69% | 1.36 |
| Bodo/Glimt +0.75 | 65% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
| Bodo/Glimt +0.5 | 60% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Union St. Gilloise +0.25 | 60% | 64% | 1.47 |
| Union St. Gilloise 0 | 53% | 59% | 1.59 |
| Bodo/Glimt +0.25 | 53% | 48% | @ 2.00 |
| Union St. Gilloise -0.25 | 47% | 52% | 1.83 |
| Bodo/Glimt 0 | 47% | 41% | @ 2.31 |
| Union St. Gilloise -0.5 | 41% | 45% | 2.09 |
| Bodo/Glimt -0.25 | 40% | 36% | @ 2.66 |
| Union St. Gilloise -0.75 | 35% | 39% | 2.40 |
| Bodo/Glimt -0.5 | 34% | 31% | @ 2.98 |
| Union St. Gilloise -1 | 30% | 31% | 3.00 |
| Bodo/Glimt -0.75 | 30% | 26% | @ 3.66 |
| Union St. Gilloise -1.25 | 25% | 28% | 3.35 |
| Bodo/Glimt -1 | 25% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Bodo/Glimt -1.25 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Union St. Gilloise -1.5 | 20% | 25% | 3.70 |
| Union St. Gilloise -1.75 | 16% | 20% | 4.80 |
| Bodo/Glimt -1.5 | 15% | 16% | 5.75 |
| Union St. Gilloise -2 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our model's main pick is Bodo/Glimt Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.31, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 0.9-2.2 scoreline for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.95 for Union St. Gilloise and 2.24 for Bodo/Glimt. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Union St. Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 04 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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