⚽ Eredivisie
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Willem II face PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie, kicking off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Willem II have no wins from their last 5, while PEC Zwolle have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Willem II won 1, PEC Zwolle won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a PEC Zwolle win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.4-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is PEC Zwolle or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a PEC Zwolle win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Willem II and PEC Zwolle. Wins shown from Willem II’s perspective: Willem II 1 · PEC Zwolle 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-14 | Willem II | 1 – 2 | PEC Zwolle | L |
| 2024-12-13 | PEC Zwolle | 0 – 1 | Willem II | W |
📈 Recent form
Willem II come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 22. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Helmond Sport. Their most recent defeat was 0-7 at PSV Eindhoven.
- LPSV Eindhoven 7-0 Willem IIEredivisie
- WHelmond Sport 3-4 Willem IIKNVB Beker
- LWillem II 1-6 CambuurEredivisie
- LSparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem IIEredivisie
- LUtrecht 3-1 Willem IIEredivisie
PEC Zwolle come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Go Ahead Eagles. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to FC OSS.
- WPEC Zwolle 1-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- LPEC Zwolle 1-2 FC OSSKNVB Beker
- DUtrecht 1-1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- WPEC Zwolle 4-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- LPEC Zwolle 0-1 CambuurEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. HoogmaKnee Injury
- A. LachkarGroin Injury
- S. FloranusInjury
- F. KrastevAchilles Tendon Injury
- G. RahajaanNot in squad
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
PEC Zwolle
Coach: Henry van der Vegt
Willem II
Coach: A. Koster
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Willem II at 26% to win and PEC Zwolle at 46%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a PEC Zwolle win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle Win | 46% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Willem II Win | 26% | 33% | @ 2.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PEC Zwolle or Draw at 1.40 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle or Draw | 73% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Willem II or Draw | 53% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Our model's pick is PEC Zwolle or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Our model makes a PEC Zwolle win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.9 scoreline for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Willem II and 1.93 for PEC Zwolle. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Willem II and PEC Zwolle play?
Kick-off is Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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