Sat 19 Sep2-0Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Mirassol vs Botafogo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mirassol vs Botafogo in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Mirassol 2-0 Botafogo

Mirassol vs Botafogo finished 2-0. Mirassol won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Botafogo or Draw at 1.62, did not land.

Mirassol face Botafogo in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Mirassol have 1 win from their last 5, while Botafogo have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Mirassol won 1, Botafogo won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Botafogo win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mirassol vs Botafogo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Botafogo +1.5 @ 1.25

90%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.19 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	10.0%	7.8%	4.0%	1.6%
1	7.7%	11.9%	9.2%	4.8%	1.8%
2	4.6%	7.1%	5.5%	2.8%	1.1%
3	1.8%	2.8%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Mirassol winDrawBotafogo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mirassol vs Botafogo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Botafogo with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 90%. On the match result, the model rates a Botafogo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Mirassol 25%Draw 28%Botafogo 47%

25%28%47%

47%

Botafogo Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Mirassol and Botafogo. Wins shown from Mirassol’s perspective: Mirassol 1 · Botafogo 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	Mirassol	2 – 0	Botafogo	W
2026-04-01	Botafogo	3 – 2	Mirassol	L

📈 Recent form

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Botafogo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Flamengo.

WMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
WCoritiba 1-2 MirassolBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 2-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 1-1 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A

Botafogo

Botafogo come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Grêmio. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Mirassol.

LMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
WBotafogo 3-2 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 3-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Mirassol

AlessonSuspended (cards)
Jose AldoMuscle Injury
NeguebaKnee Injury

Botafogo

J. BarreraInjury
K. BarriaNot in squad
Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
Matheus MartinsNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mirassol at 25% to win and Botafogo at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Botafogo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Botafogo Win	47%	28%	@ 3.40
Draw	28%	28%	@ 3.40
Mirassol Win	25%	44%	@ 2.15

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Botafogo or Draw at 1.67 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Botafogo or Draw	74%	56%	@ 1.67
Mirassol or Draw	52%	72%	@ 1.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	76%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	70%	68%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	52%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	48%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	30%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	24%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	45%	42%	@ 2.20

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Mirassol or Botafogo is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Botafogo +1.75	92%	81%	@ 1.17
Botafogo +1.5	90%	75%	@ 1.25
Botafogo +1.25	86%	73%	@ 1.30
Botafogo +1	82%	70%	@ 1.36
Botafogo +0.75	78%	61%	@ 1.56
Mirassol +1.5	75%	86%	1.10
Botafogo +0.5	74%	55%	@ 1.75
Mirassol +1.25	70%	86%	1.11
Botafogo +0.25	67%	47%	@ 2.04
Mirassol +1	64%	85%	1.12
Botafogo 0	61%	38%	@ 2.49
Mirassol +0.75	58%	78%	1.22
Botafogo -0.25	54%	32%	@ 2.94
Mirassol +0.5	52%	72%	1.32
Botafogo -0.5	48%	28%	@ 3.38
Mirassol +0.25	46%	68%	1.41
Botafogo -0.75	42%	22%	@ 4.31
Mirassol 0	39%	62%	1.53
Botafogo -1	36%	15%	@ 6.25
Mirassol -0.25	33%	53%	1.83
Botafogo -1.25	30%	14%	@ 6.60
Mirassol -0.5	26%	45%	2.10
Botafogo -1.5	25%	14%	@ 7.00
Mirassol -0.75	22%	39%	2.43
Mirassol -1	18%	30%	3.13
Mirassol -1.25	14%	27%	3.52
Mirassol -1.5	10%	25%	3.80
Mirassol -1.75	8%	19%	5.00

📈 How the market moved

Mirassol 45%Draw 27%Botafogo 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Botafogo?

Our model's main pick is Botafogo with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 90% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Mirassol vs Botafogo?

Our model makes a Botafogo win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline for Mirassol vs Botafogo.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Botafogo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.19 for Mirassol and 1.55 for Botafogo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mirassol and Botafogo play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.