vs
⚽ Bundesliga
1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.
1. FC Köln face 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Köln have 0 wins from their last 5, while 1899 Hoffenheim have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, 1899 Hoffenheim won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a 1899 Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.6-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, the selection our model is most confident in at 70%. On the match result, the model rates a 1899 Hoffenheim win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a 1899 Hoffenheim win at odds 2.27 (+22.0% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between 1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim. Wins shown from 1. FC Köln’s perspective: 1. FC Köln 1 · 2 drawn · 1899 Hoffenheim 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | 1. FC Köln | 2 – 2 | 1899 Hoffenheim | D |
| 2025-10-03 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 – 1 | 1. FC Köln | W |
| 2024-02-11 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 – 1 | 1. FC Köln | D |
| 2023-09-16 | 1. FC Köln | 1 – 3 | 1899 Hoffenheim | L |
📈 Recent form
1. FC Köln come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at Bergisch Gladbach. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at Bayern München.
- W1. FC Köln 2-1 Real SociedadFriendlies Clubs
- D1. FC Köln 2-2 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs
- WBergisch Gladbach 0-8 1. FC KölnFriendlies Clubs
- LBayern München 5-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
- L1. FC Köln 1-3 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Erzgebirge Aue. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- WErzgebirge Aue 0-4 1899 HoffenheimDFB Pokal
- W1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Karlsruher SCFriendlies Clubs
- W1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
- WSGV Freiberg 0-3 1899 HoffenheimFriendlies Clubs
- LBorussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices 1. FC Köln at 24% to win and 1899 Hoffenheim at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a 1899 Hoffenheim win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim Win | 54% | @ 2.27 | +22.0% |
| Draw | 22% | @ 3.67 | -17.6% |
| 1. FC Köln Win | 24% | @ 2.98 | -29.0% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 49% | @ 2.39 | +17.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | @ 1.57 | +10.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 51% | @ 1.58 | -19.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | @ 2.42 | -28.0% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with 70% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a 1899 Hoffenheim win at 2.27 (+22.0% value).
Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our model makes a 1899 Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.62 for 1. FC Köln and 2.01 for 1899 Hoffenheim. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do 1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
