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⚽ UEFA Europa League

Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Hoffenheim face Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 49%, implying a 1.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Hoffenheim win 49%
Draw 24%
Beşiktaş win 27%
Over 2.5 goals 66%
Both teams to score 64%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.95 – 1.45 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
1 6.5% 9.4% 6.8% 3.3% 1.2%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2%
3 4.1% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
4 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
Projected score: 1-1
Hoffenheim winDrawBeşiktaş win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Hoffenheim win is the most likely result at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 66%. Both teams to score: yes at 64%.

📊 Key numbers

Hoffenheim 49%Draw 24%Beşiktaş 27%
49%24%27%
49%
Hoffenheim Win
66%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to VfB Stuttgart. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Hamburger SV.

  • LHoffenheim 2-3 Hamburger SVBundesliga
  • LSC Paderborn 07 3-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
  • LOFI 2-0 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League
  • WHoffenheim 2-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
  • LHoffenheim 2-3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Marseille. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Amed.

  • WBeşiktaş 2-1 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • LAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • WBeşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleUEFA Europa League
  • WBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • WFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Hoffenheim
  • L. EngelnsOff the roster
  • A. HajdariMuscle Injury
Beşiktaş
  • C. KelesOff the roster
  • M. RashicaInjury
  • M. RashicaOff the roster
  • V. CernyInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hoffenheim at 49% to win and Beşiktaş at 27%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Hoffenheim Win 49% @ 1.90
Beşiktaş Win 27% @ 3.40
Draw 24% @ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hoffenheim or Draw at 1.30 (73% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Hoffenheim or Draw 73% @ 1.30
Beşiktaş or Draw 51% @ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 83% @ 1.14
Over 2.5 66% @ 1.44
Under 3.5 55% @ 1.73
Over 3.5 45% @ 2.10
Under 2.5 34% @ 2.75
Under 1.5 17% @ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 65% @ 1.44
BTTS No 35% @ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

19%36%53%10/1010/1110/1210/13

Hoffenheim 49%Draw 23%Beşiktaş 27%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Hoffenheim win is the most likely result at 49%.

Who is the favourite for Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?

Our model makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline for Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş.

What is the predicted score for Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.95 for Hoffenheim and 1.45 for Beşiktaş. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.