⚽ Premiership

Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 01 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Result: Aberdeen 2-1 Heart Of Midlothian

Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian finished 2-1. Aberdeen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Aberdeen Asian Handicap with a +1 start at 1.42, landed.

Aberdeen face Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 01 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Aberdeen won 2, Heart Of Midlothian won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.3-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Aberdeen Asian Handicap +1.0 @ 1.42

81%

High AI Confidence

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.34 – 0.77 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	9.3%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
1	16.2%	12.5%	4.8%	1.2%	0.2%
2	10.9%	8.4%	3.2%	0.8%	0.2%
3	4.9%	3.7%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Aberdeen winDrawHeart Of Midlothian win

Our prediction for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Aberdeen Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points no (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Aberdeen to win by 0+ goals at odds 2.71 (+45.8% model value).

Best value

Aberdeen -0.25 at odds 2.71, 54% model probability, +45.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

Key numbers

Aberdeen 27%Draw 52%Heart Of Midlothian 21%

27%52%21%

52%

Draw

65%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

+45.8%

Best value: Aberdeen -0.25

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Aberdeen at 27% to win and Heart Of Midlothian at 21%, with the draw at 52%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	52%	3.49	+81.1%
Aberdeen Win	27%	3.06	-17.0%
Heart Of Midlothian Win	21%	2.20	-54.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Aberdeen or Draw at 1.65 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Aberdeen or Draw	79%	1.65	+30.3%
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw	73%	1.35	-1.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	38%	4.13	+55.6%
Under 2.5	65%	2.09	+35.0%
Under 3.5	84%	1.43	+19.2%
Over 1.5	62%	1.23	-23.4%
Over 2.5	35%	1.74	-38.6%
Over 3.5	16%	2.81	-54.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	60%	2.26	+36.3%
BTTS Yes	40%	1.57	-37.6%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Aberdeen or Heart Of Midlothian is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Aberdeen -1	36%	5.75	+105.0%
Aberdeen -1.25	30%	6.00	+78.7%
Aberdeen -0.75	42%	3.88	+61.1%
Aberdeen -0.25	54%	2.71	+45.8%
Aberdeen -0.5	47%	3.01	+42.5%
Aberdeen 0	60%	2.28	+37.3%
Aberdeen +0.25	67%	1.93	+28.2%
Aberdeen +0.5	73%	1.66	+21.2%
Aberdeen +0.75	77%	1.51	+16.9%
Aberdeen +1	81%	1.42	+15.8%
Aberdeen +1.5	90%	1.24	+11.0%
Aberdeen +1.75	92%	1.21	+10.7%
Aberdeen +1.25	86%	1.28	+9.5%
Aberdeen +2	93%	1.13	+5.5%
Heart Of Midlothian +1.5	76%	1.11	-15.6%
Heart Of Midlothian +1.25	70%	1.12	-21.4%
Heart Of Midlothian +1	64%	1.14	-26.6%
Heart Of Midlothian +0.75	58%	1.25	-26.6%
Heart Of Midlothian +0.5	53%	1.36	-28.3%
Heart Of Midlothian +0.25	46%	1.47	-32.3%
Heart Of Midlothian 0	40%	1.62	-35.5%
Heart Of Midlothian -0.25	33%	1.93	-35.7%
Heart Of Midlothian -0.5	27%	2.16	-41.8%
Heart Of Midlothian -0.75	23%	2.54	-41.9%
Heart Of Midlothian -1.25	14%	3.63	-47.5%
Heart Of Midlothian -2	7%	5.90	-60.6%

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our main pick is Aberdeen Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.42, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Aberdeen to win by 0+ goals at 2.71 (+45.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian.

What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.34 for Aberdeen and 0.77 for Heart Of Midlothian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Aberdeen and Heart Of Midlothian play?

Kick-off is Saturday 01 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.