⚽ Serie A

AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AC Milan vs Venezia in the Serie A. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

AC Milan face Venezia in the Serie A, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, AC Milan won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AC Milan win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 1.9-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AC Milan vs Venezia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.91 – 0.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	5.4%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
1	12.2%	10.3%	4.3%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.7%	9.8%	4.1%	1.2%	0.2%
3	7.4%	6.2%	2.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	3.5%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

AC Milan winDrawVenezia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Venezia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates an AC Milan win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (52%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.38, 70% model probability, -3.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

AC Milan 61%Draw 23%Venezia 16%

61%23%16%

61%

AC Milan Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

-3.0%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between AC Milan and Venezia. Wins shown from AC Milan’s perspective: AC Milan 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-04-27	Venezia	0 – 2	AC Milan	W
2024-09-14	AC Milan	4 – 0	Venezia	W

📈 Recent form

AC Milan

AC Milan come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Manchester United. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Chelsea.

WManchester United 2-4 AC MilanFriendlies Clubs
LChelsea 3-0 AC MilanFriendlies Clubs
DAC Milan 1-1 InterFriendlies Clubs
DCeltic 2-2 AC MilanFriendlies Clubs
LAC Milan 1-2 CagliariSerie A

Venezia

Venezia come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at home to Vis Pesaro. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 3-4 at Saint Etienne.

WVenezia 3-2 ModenaCoppa Italia
DStade Brestois 29 2-2 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs
LSaint Etienne 4-3 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs
WGalatasaray 0-3 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs
WVenezia 8-0 Vis PesaroFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AC Milan at 61% to win and Venezia at 16%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an AC Milan win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Venezia Win	16%	@ 12.00	+93.7%
Draw	23%	@ 4.80	+10.4%
AC Milan Win	61%	@ 1.28	-22.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Venezia or Draw at 3.45 (39% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Venezia or Draw	39%	@ 3.45	+33.1%
AC Milan or Draw	83%	@ 1.04	-13.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	70%	@ 1.38	-3.0%
Under 2.5	48%	@ 2.00	-3.7%
Over 1.5	76%	@ 1.25	-5.0%
Over 2.5	52%	@ 1.80	-6.7%
Under 1.5	24%	@ 3.75	-10.1%
Over 3.5	30%	@ 3.00	-10.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	48%	@ 2.25	+9.2%
BTTS No	52%	@ 1.60	-17.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AC Milan vs Venezia?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 76% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Venezia?

Our model makes an AC Milan win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.8 scoreline for AC Milan vs Venezia.

What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Venezia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.91 for AC Milan and 0.84 for Venezia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AC Milan and Venezia play?

Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.